Vahanna Tech Edge Acquisition I (Vahanna Tech Edge Acquisition I) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2022. Start your Free Trial

What is Vahanna Tech Edge Acquisition I Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Vahanna Tech Edge Acquisition I Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Vahanna Tech Edge Acquisition I Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Vahanna Tech Edge Acquisition I's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Vahanna Tech Edge Acquisition I (Vahanna Tech Edge Acquisition I) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Diversified Financial Services » Vahanna Tech Edge Acquisition I Corp (NAS:VHNA) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

1230 Avenue of the Americas, 16th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10020

Website

https://www.vahannatech.com

Vahanna Tech Edge Acquisition I Corp is a newly blank check company. It is formed for the purpose of effecting a merger, share exchange, asset acquisition, stock purchase, reorganization or similar business combination with one or more businesses.

Executives

Avacara Pte, Ltd.	10 percent owner	14 ROBINSON ROAD, #12-01/02, FAR EAST FINANCE BUILDING, SINGAPORE U0 048545
Steven J. Carlson	director	C/O QUANTUM FINTECH ACQUISITION CORP, 4221 W. BOY SCOUT BLVD., SUITE 300, TAMPA FL 33607
Zoe Ashcroft	director	C/O VAHANNA TECH EDGE ACQUISITION I CORP, 17 LOCKWOOD AVENUE, OLD GREENWICH CT 06870
Ankur Kamboj	officer: Chief Operating Officer	C/O VAHANNA TECH EDGE ACQUISITION I CORP, 17 LOCKWOOD AVENUE, OLD GREENWICH CT 06870
Mohit Pasricha	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O VAHANNA TECH EDGE ACQUISITION I CORP, 17 LOCKWOOD AVENUE, OLD GREENWICH CT 06870
Rohan Malhotra	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O VAHANNA TECH EDGE ACQUISITION I CORP, 17 LOCKWOOD AVENUE, OLD GREENWICH CT 06870
Supurna Vedbrat	director	C/O VAHANNA TECH EDGE ACQUISITION I CORP, 17 LOCKWOOD AVENUE, OLD GREENWICH CT 06870
Xavier Blanchard	officer: See Remarks	C/O VAHANNA TECH EDGE ACQUISITION I CORP, 17 LOCKWOOD AVENUE, OLD GREENWICH CT 06870
Akshaya Bhargava	10 percent owner	C/O VAHANNA TECH EDGE ACQUISITION I CORP, 1230 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 16TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10020
Vinode Ramgopal	10 percent owner	C/O VAHANNA TECH EDGE ACQUISITION I CORP, 1230 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 16TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10020
Ajay Shah	director	2775 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Abha Kumar	director	C/O VAHANNA TECH EDGE ACQUISITION I CORP, 5 EAST 22ND STREET, APT 4M, NEW YORK NY 10010
Karan Puri	officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O VAHANNA TECH EDGE ACQUISITION I CORP, 5 EAST 22ND STREET, APT 4M, NEW YORK NY 10010
Vahanna Llc	10 percent owner	C/O VAHANNA TECH EDGE ACQUISITION I CORP, 5 EAST 22ND STREET, APT 4M, NEW YORK NY 10010
Saurav Adhikari	director, officer: Chairman	C/O VAHANNA TECH EDGE ACQUISITION I CORP, 5 EAST 22ND STREET, APT 4M, NEW YORK NY 10010