Western Asset Inflation Linkedome Fund (Western Asset Inflation Linkedome Fund) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to . Start your Free Trial

What is Western Asset Inflation Linkedome Fund Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Western Asset Inflation Linkedome Fund Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Western Asset Inflation Linkedome Fund Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Western Asset Inflation Linkedome Fund's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Western Asset Inflation Linkedome Fund (Western Asset Inflation Linkedome Fund) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » Western Asset Inflation Linked Income Fund (NYSE:WIA) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

620 Eighth Avenue, 47th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10018

Website

https://www.franklintempleton.com

Western Asset Inflation Linked Income Fund is a diversified, closed-end management investment company. The primary investment objective of the group is to provide current income while its secondary investment objective is capital appreciation.

Executives

Michael Larson	director	2365 CARILLON POINT, KIRKLAND WA 98033
Hoffmann Courtney A.	other: Secretary/GC Subadviser	WESTERN ASSET MANAGEMENT COMPANY, LLC, 385 EAST COLORADO BOULEVARD, PASADENA CA 91101
Cascade Investment, L.l.c.	10 percent owner	2365 CARILLON POINT, KIRKLAND WA 98033
Andrew J. Bowden	other: COO/Subadviser	WESTERN ASSET MANAGEMENT COMPANY, LLC, 385 EAST COLORADO BOULEVARD, PASADENA CA 91101
George W Karpus	other: See Explanation of Responses
Oliveira Marc De	officer: Secretary / Chief LGL Officer	C/O LEGG MASON & CO. LLC, ONE FIRST STAMFORD PLACE, STAMFORD CT 06902
Jed A. Plafker	other: Director of Investment Adviser	ONE FRANKLIN PARKWAY, SAN MATEO CA 94403
Jennifer M Johnson	other: Director of Investment Adviser	C/O FRANKLIN RESOURCES, INC., ONE FRANKLIN PARKWAY, SAN MATEO CA 94403-1906
Matthew Nicholls	other: Director of Investment Adviser	ONE FRANKLIN PARKWAY, SAN MATEO CA 94403
Avedick Baruyr Poladian	director	701 WESTERN AVENUE, GLENDALE CA 91201
Jaynie M Studenmund	director	506 SECOND AVENUE, 9TH FLOOR, SEATTLE WA 98104
Jane F Dasher	director	KORSNAT PARTNERS, 283 GREENWICH AVE 3RD FL, GREENWICH CT 06830
Susan B Kerley	director	51 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10010
Anita L Defrantz	director	736 RAYMOND AVENUE, SANTA MONICA CA 90405
Siart William E B	director	266 TOYOPA DRIVE, PACIFIC PALISADES CA 90272