Ballys (Ballys) Predictability Rank

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What is Ballys Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Ballys Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Ballys (Ballys) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Travel & Leisure » Ballys Corp (NYSE:BALY) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

358:Germany

Address

100 Westminster Street, Providence, RI, USA, 02903

Website

https://www.ballys.com

Ballys Corp is a gaming, hospitality, and entertainment company with a portfolio of casinos and resorts, and online gaming businesses. It provides its customers with physical and interactive entertainment and gaming experiences, including traditional casino offerings, iCasino, online bingo, sportsbook, and free-to-play (F2P) games. The company has three reportable segments; Casinos & Resorts Includes the Company's 15 casino and resort properties and one horse race track, the North America Interactive segment includes a portfolio of sports betting, iGaming, and free-to-play gaming brands, and the International Interactive segment includes Gamesys' European and Asian operations.

Executives

Jeffrey W Rollins	director
Jaymin B Patel	director	C/O GTECH HOLDINGS CORPORATION, 55 TECHNOLOGY WAY, WEST GREENWICH RI 02817
Terrence Downey	director	100 TWIN RIVER ROAD, LINCOLN RI 02865
Wanda Y. Wilson	director	100 TWIN RIVER ROAD, LINCOLN RI 02865
Lee Kim Barker	officer: EVP, Chief Legal Officer	C/O BALLY'S CORPORATION, 100 WESTMINSTER STREET, PROVIDENCE RI 02903
Tracy S. Harris	director	C/O 1847 HOLDINGS LLC, 590 MADISON AVE., 21ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Robeson Reeves	director, officer: President, Interactive	100 WESTMINSTER STREET, PROVIDENCE RI 02903
Craig L Eaton	officer: EVP, General Counsel, Sec.	100 TWIN RIVER ROAD, LINCOLN RI 02865
George T. Papanier	director, officer: President and CEO	100 TWIN RIVER ROAD, LINCOLN RI 02865
Marcus Glover	officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer	C/O BALLY'S CORPORATION, 100 WESTMINSTER STREET, PROVIDENCE RI 02903
Standard General L.p.	director, 10 percent owner	767 FIFTH AVENUE, 12TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10153
Noel Hayden	10 percent owner	C/O ANZO GROUP LIMITED, 25 GOLDEN SQUARE, LONDON X0 W1F 9LU
Marc A Crisafulli	officer: EVP Government Relations	C/O GTECH HOLDINGS CORPORATION, 55 TECHNOLOGY WAY, WEST GREENWICH RI 02817
Robert M. Lavan	officer: Executive Vice President, CFO	5201 INTERCHANGE WAY, LOUISVILLE KY 40229
Stephen H Capp	officer: Executive Vice President, CFO	C/O PINNACLE ENTERTAINMENT INC, 8918 SPANISH RIDGE AVENUE, LAS VEGAS NV 89148