Cineverse (Cineverse) Predictability Rank

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What is Cineverse Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Cineverse Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Cineverse (Cineverse) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Media - Diversified » Cineverse Corp (NAS:CNVS) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

244 Fifth Avenue, Suite M289, New York, NY, USA, 10001

Website

https://www.cineverse.com

Cineverse Corp is a streaming technology and entertainment company. It operates portfolios of owned and operated streaming channels, all powered by its, proprietary technology platform. Cineverse currently features enthusiast brands for subscription video on demand (SVOD), advertising-based video on demand (AVOD), and free, ad-supported streaming television (FAST) channels. The company mainly operates through two segments, Content & Entertainment, and Cinema Equipment, from which Content & Entertainment derives the majority of its revenues.

Executives

Mark Torres	officer: Chief People Officer	244 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE M289, NEW YORK NY 10001
Yolanda Macias	officer: Chief Content Officer	228 MANHATTAN BEACH BLVD., MANHATTAN BEACH CA 90266
Mark Wayne Lindsey	officer: CFO	9841 WASHINGTONIAN BLVD, STE. #390, GAITHERSBURG MD 20878
Christopher J Mcgurk	director, officer: CEO and Chairman	C/O METRO-GOLDWYN-MAYER INC., 10250 CONSTELLATION BLVD., LOS ANGELES CA 90067
John K. Canning	officer: CFO	237 WEST 35TH STREET, SUITE 605, NEW YORK NY 10001
Mark Antonio Huidor	officer: COO and CTO	10353 VARIEL AVENUE, CHATSWORTH CA 91311
Erick Opeka	officer: President - Networks	15301 VENTURA BLVD., B SUITE 420, LOS ANGELES CA 91403
Ashok Amritraj	director	C/O HYDE PARK ENTERTAINMENT, INC., 16633 VENTURA BOULEVARD, #1450, ENCINO CA 91436
Pat O'brien	director	C/O IRONCLAD PERFORMANCE WEAR CORP., 2201 PARK PLACE, SUITE 101, EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Peixin Xu	director, 10 percent owner	B609-610, 21ST CENTURY TOWER. NO. 40, LIANGMAQIAO ROAD, CHAOYANG DISTRICT, BEIJING F4 100016
Beitai Investment Ltd	other: Former 10% Owner	89 NEXUS WAY, CAMANA BAY, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KYI-9009
Bison Entertainment Investment Ltd	10 percent owner	UNIT 1501-2, 15F SINO PLAZA, 255 GLOUCESTER ROAD, CAUSEWAY BAY K3 00000
Bison Entertainment & Media Group	10 percent owner	UNIT 1501-2, 15F SINO PLAZA, 255 GLOUCESTER ROAD, CAUSEWAY BAY K3 00000
Fengyun Jiang	10 percent owner	B609-610, 21ST CENTURY TOWER. NO. 40, LIANGMAQIAO ROAD, CHAOYANG DISTRICT, BEIJING F4 100016
Bison Capital Holding Co Ltd	10 percent owner	609-610, 21ST CENTURY TOWER, 40 LIANGMAQIAO RD, CHAOYANG DISTRICT, BEIJING F4 100016