Dayforce (Dayforce) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2018. Start your Free Trial

What is Dayforce Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Dayforce Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Dayforce Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Dayforce's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Dayforce (Dayforce) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Dayforce Inc (NYSE:DAY) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

CDAY:Canada

Address

3311 East Old Shakopee Road, Minneapolis, MN, USA, 55425

Website

https://www.ceridian.com

Ceridian HCM provides payroll and human capital management solutions targeting clients with 100-100,000 employees. Following the 2012 acquisition of Dayforce, Ceridian pivoted away from its legacy on-premises Bureau business to become a cloud HCM provider. As of fiscal 2022, about 80% of group revenue was derived from the flagship Dayforce platform geared toward enterprise clients. The remaining revenue is about evenly split between cloud platform Powerpay, targeting small businesses in Canada, and legacy Bureau products.

Executives

Noemie Clemence Heuland	officer: EVP, CFO	C/O CERIDIAN HCM HOLDING INC., 3311 EAST OLD SHAKOPEE ROAD, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55425
Leagh Erin Turner	officer: President	228 DOUGLAS DRIVE, TORONTO A6 M4W 2C1
Stephen H. Holdridge	officer: EVP, Chief Customer Officer	MICROSTRATEGY INCORPORATED, 1850 TOWERS CRESCENT PLAZA, TYSONS CORNER VA 22182
Joseph B Korngiebel	officer: EVP, CPTO	C/O CERIDIAN HCM HOLDING INC., 3311 EAST OLD SHAKOPEE ROAD, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55425
William Everett Mcdonald	officer: EVP, GC & Corporate Secretary	C/O CERIDIAN HCM HOLDINGS INC., 3311 EAST OLD SHAKOPEE ROAD, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55425-1361
Samer Alkharrat	officer: EVP, Chief Revenue Officer	1300 SEAPORT BLVD, SUITE 500, REDWOOD CITY CA 94063
Christopher R Armstrong	officer: EVP, Chief Customer Officer	C/O CERIDIAN HCM HOLDING INC., 3311 EAST OLD SHAKOPEE ROAD, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55425
Jeffrey Scott Jacobs	officer: Head of Acct & Fin Reporting	C/O CERIDIAN HCM HOLDING INC., 3311 EAST OLD SHAKOPEE ROAD, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55425
Rakesh Subramanian	officer: EVP, Chief Revenue Officer	C/O CERIDIAN HCM HOLDING INC., 3311 EAST OLD SHAKOPEE ROAD, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55425
David D Ossip	director, officer: Chairman and CEO	C/O CERIDIAN HCM HOLDING INC., 3311 EAST OLD SHAKOPEE ROAD, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55425
Thomas M Hagerty	director	C/O THOMAS H. LEE PARTNERS, L.P., 100 FEDERAL STREET, 35 FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
Gerald C Throop	director	C/O CERIDIAN HCM HOLDING INC., 3311 EAST OLD SHAKOPEE ROAD, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55425
Cannae Holdings, Inc.	director, 10 percent owner	C/O CANNAE HOLDINGS, INC., 1701 VILLAGE CENTER CIRCLE, LAS VEGAS NV 89134
Scott A Kitching	officer: EVP, GC & Assistant Secretary	C/O CERIDIAN HCM HOLDING INC., 3311 EAST OLD SHAKOPEE ROAD, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55425
Thl Equity Fund Vi Investors (ceridian) V, Llc	director, 10 percent owner	C/O THOMAS H LEE PARTNERS, L.P., 100 FEDERAL STREET, 35TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110