Kaltura (Kaltura) Predictability Rank

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What is Kaltura Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Kaltura Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Kaltura (Kaltura) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Kaltura Inc (NAS:KLTR) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

860 Broadway, 3rd Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10003

Website

https://www.kaltura.com

Kaltura Inc provides live and on-demand video SaaS solutions to thousands of organizations around the world, engaging hundreds of millions of viewers at home, at work, and school. It also offers specialized industry solutions, including Learning Management System Video, Lecture Capture, and Virtual Classroom for educational institutions, as well as a TV Solution for media and telecom companies. It operates in two reporting segments which are Enterprise, Education, and Technology and Media and Telecom. Majority of the revenue is derived from Enterprise, Education & Technology. Majority of the revenue is earned from United States.

Executives

Shay David	director	C/O KALTURA, INC., 250 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Naama Halevi-davidov	director	C/O KALTURA, INC., 250 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Yaron Garmazi	officer: CHIEF FINENCIAL OFFICER	C/O NESS TECHNOLOGIES, INC., NESS TOWER,, ATIDIM HIGH-TECH INDL. PARK, BLDG. 4, TEL AVIV L3 61580
Eyal Manor	director	C/O TWILIO INC., 101 SPEAR STREET, FIRST FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Ronen Faier	director	MARVA 11, HERZLIA L3 46417
Richard Levandov	director	C/O KALTURA, INC., 250 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Michal Tsur	officer: SEE REMARKS	C/O KALTURA, INC., 250 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Ron Yekutiel	director, officer: CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER	C/O KALTURA, INC., 250 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Goldman Sachs Group Inc	10 percent owner	200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282
Gssg Holdings Llc	10 percent owner	200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282
Goldman Sachs & Co. Llc	10 percent owner	200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282
.406 Ventures I Gp, Llc	10 percent owner	C/O KALTURA, INC., 250 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Special Situations Investing Group Ii, Llc	10 percent owner	200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282
Point 406 Ventures Opportunities Fund Ii, L.p.	10 percent owner	470 ATLANTIC AVENUE, 12TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02210
Maria Cirino	director	C/O KEANE INC, 100 CITY SQ, BOSTON MA 02129