Pinterest (Pinterest) Predictability Rank

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What is Pinterest Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Pinterest Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Pinterest Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Pinterest (Pinterest) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Interactive Media » Pinterest Inc (NYSE:PINS) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

PINS:Mexico P2IN34:Brazil

Address

505 Brannan Street, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94107

Website

https://www.pinterest.com

Pinterest is an online product and idea discovery platform that helps users gather ideas on everything from recipes to cook to destinations to travel to. Founded in 2010, the platform consists of a largely female audience, at roughly two thirds of its 450 million monthly active users. The company generates revenue by selling digital ads and is now rolling out more in-platform e-commerce features.

Executives

Gokul Rajaram	director	301 CONGRESS AVENUE, SUITE 700, AUSTIN TX 78701
Jeffrey D Jordan	director	2865 SAND HILL ROAD #101, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Christine Deputy	officer: Chief People Officer	130 ROYALL STREET, CANTON MA 02021
Evan Sharp	director, officer: Co-Founder & Chief Design & Cr	505 BRANNAN STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Sabrina Ellis	officer: Chief Product Officer	651 BRANNAN ST., SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Wanjiku Juanita Walcott	officer: Chief Legal Officer	2500 LAKE COOK ROAD, RIVERWOODS IL 60015
Naveen Gavini	officer: SVP, Products	505 BRANNAN ST., SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Scott F. Schenkel	director	C/O EBAY INC., 2025 HAMILTON AVE., SAN JOSE CA 95125
Todd R Morgenfeld	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O PINTEREST, INC., 651 BRANNAN STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Benjamin Silbermann	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman, President, CEO, Co-F	505 BRANNAN STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Donnelly Julia Brau	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O PINTEREST, INC., 651 BRANNAN STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Malik Ducard	officer: Chief Content Officer	651 BRANNAN ST., SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Marc Steinberg	director	600 STEAMBOAT ROAD, 3RD FLOOR, GREENWICH CT 06830
William J Ready	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O PAYPAL HOLDINGS, INC., 2211 NORTH FIRST STREET, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Christine Flores	officer: General Counsel	505 BRANNAN STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107