Zoom Video Communications (Zoom Video Communications) Predictability Rank

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What is Zoom Video Communications Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Zoom Video Communications Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Zoom Video Communications Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Zoom Video Communications (Zoom Video Communications) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Zoom Video Communications Inc (NAS:ZM) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

ZM:Peru ZM:Mexico 1ZM:Italy 5ZMd:UK 5ZM:Germany 5ZM:Germany 5ZM:Germany 5ZM:Germany Z1OM34:Brazil ZOOM:Austria

Address

55 Almaden Boulevard, 6th Floor, San Jose, CA, USA, 95113

Website

https://www.zoom.com

Zoom Video Communications provides a communications platform that connects people through video, voice, chat, and content sharing. The company's cloud-native platform enables face-to-face video and connects users across various devices and locations in a single meeting. Zoom, which was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in San Jose, California, serves companies of all sizes from all industries around the world.

Executives

Aparna Bawa	officer: General Counsel	C/O ZOOM VIDEO COMMUNICATIONS, INC., 55 ALMADEN BOULEVARD, 6TH FLOOR, SAN JOSE CA 95113
Shane Crehan	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	C/O EVENTBRITE, INC., 155 5TH STREET, 7TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Velchamy Sankarlingam	officer: Pres. of Engineering & Product	C/O ZOOM VIDEO COMMUNICATIONS, INC., 55 ALMADEN BOULEVARD, 6TH FLOOR, SAN JOSE CA 95113
Eric S. Yuan	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O ZOOM VIDEO COMMUNICATIONS, INC., 55 ALMADEN BOULEVARD, 6TH FLOOR, SAN JOSE CA 95113
Santiago Subotovsky	director	C/O EMERGENCE CAPITAL PARTNERS, 160 BOVENT ROAD SUITE 300, SAN MATEO CA 94402
Kelly Steckelberg	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O ZOOM VIDEO COMMUNICATIONS, INC., 55 ALMADEN BOULEVARD, 6TH FLOOR, SAN JOSE CA 95113
Jonathan Chadwick	director	3401 HILLVIEW AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Gregory Tomb	officer: President	650 CASTRO ST, SUITE 400, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94041
Cindy L Hoots	director	C/O ZOOM VIDEO COMMUNICATIONS, INC, 55 ALMADEN BOULEVARD, 6TH FLOOR, SAN JOSE CA 95113
William R Mcdermott	director	2225 LAWSON LANE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Ryan Azus	officer: Chief Revenue Officer	C/O ZOOM VIDEO COMMUNICATIONS, INC., 55 ALMADEN BOULEVARD, 6TH FLOOR, SAN JOSE CA 95113
Carl M. Eschenbach	director, 10 percent owner	C/O SEQUOIA CAPITAL, 2800 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 101, PALO ALTO CA 94025
Janine Pelosi	officer: Chief Marketing Officer	C/O ZOOM VIDEO COMMUNICATIONS, INC., 55 ALMADEN BOULEVARD, 6TH FLOOR, SAN JOSE CA 95113
Kimberly Hammonds	director	100 EAST DAVIE STREET, RALEIGH NC 27601
Bart Swanson	director	C/O ZOOM VIDEO COMMUNICATIONS, INC., 55 ALMADEN BOULEVARD, 6TH FLOOR, SAN JOSE CA 95113