SilverSun Technologies (SilverSun Technologies) Predictability Rank

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What is SilverSun Technologies Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

SilverSun Technologies Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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SilverSun Technologies (SilverSun Technologies) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » SilverSun Technologies Inc (NAS:SSNT) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

120 Eagle Rock Avenue, East Hanover, NJ, USA, 07936

Website

https://www.silversuntech.com

SilverSun Technologies Inc is a business application, technology, and consulting company. It is engaged in providing strategies and solutions to meet information, technology and business management needs. Its services and technologies enable customers to manage, protect and monetize their enterprise assets in the cloud. It offers solutions for accounting and business management, financial reporting, enterprise resource planning (ERP), warehouse management systems (WMS), customer relationship management (CRM) and business intelligence (BI). The company has a network services practice, which provides managed services, hosting, business continuity, cloud, e-mail, and Web services.

Executives

Stanley Wunderlich	director
John D. Schachtel	director	979 BATESVILLE ROAD, SUITE B, GREER SC 29651
Joseph P Macaluso	director
Bitnile Holdings, Inc.	10 percent owner	11411 SOUTHERN HIGHLANDS PARKWAY, SUITE 240, LAS VEGAS NV 89141
Ault Milton C Iii	10 percent owner	11411 SOUTHERN HIGHLANDS PARKWAY, SUITE 240, LAS VEGAS NV 89141
Jeffrey D Roth	10 percent owner	202 VIERA DRIVE, CEDAR KNOLLS NJ 07927-2402
Christine Elizabeth Dye	officer: Chief Financial Officer	120 EAGLE ROCK AVE., SUITE 330, EAST HANOVER NJ 07936
Crandall Iii Melvin	officer: Chief Financial Officer	5 REGENT ST #520, LIVINGSTON NJ 07039
John Rudy	director	C/O ADSTAR INC., 4553 GLENCOE AVENUE SUITE 325, MARINA DEL REY CA 90292
Mark Meller	director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and CEO	C/O TREY RESOURCES, INC., 293 EISENHOWER PARKWAY, SUITE 250, LIVINGSTON NJ 07039
Jerome R Mahoney	director, 10 percent owner, officer: President, Secretary and CEO	C/O VOICE INC, 750 HIGHWAY 34, MATAWAN NJ 07747