Starry Group Holdings (Starry Group Holdings) Predictability Rank

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What is Starry Group Holdings Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Starry Group Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Starry Group Holdings (Starry Group Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Telecommunication Services » Starry Group Holdings Inc (OTCPK:STRYQ) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

38 Chauncy Street, Suite 200, Boston, MA, USA, 02111

Website

https://www.starry.com

Starry Group Holdings Inc is connecting people and communities to high-speed, broadband internet using innovative, wideband hybrid-fiber fixed wireless technology. It is deploying gigabit-capable broadband to the home without bundles, data caps, or long-term contracts. The company is building a platform for the future by putting customers first, protecting privacy, ensuring access to an open and neutral net, and making affordable connectivity and digital equity a priority.

Executives

Tiger Global Management Llc	10 percent owner	9 WEST 57TH STREET, 35TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Michael Pasciak	officer: See Remarks	C/O STARRY GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 38 CHAUNCY STREET, SUITE 200, BOSTON MA 02111
Coleman Charles P Iii	10 percent owner	C/O TIGER GLOBAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, 9 WEST 57TH STREET, 35TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Tiger Global Pip Management Ix, Ltd.	10 percent owner	C/O TIGER GLOBAL PERFORMANCE, LLC, 9 WEST 57TH STREET, 35TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Tiger Global Pip Performance Ix, L.p.	10 percent owner	C/O TIGER GLOBAL PERFORMANCE, LLC, 9 WEST 57TH STREET, 35TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Tiger Global Private Investment Partners Ix, L.p.	10 percent owner	C/O TIGER GLOBAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, 9 WEST 57TH STREET, 35TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Scott L Shleifer	10 percent owner	C/O TIGER GLOBAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, 9 WEST 57TH STREET, 35TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Firstmark Horizon Sponsor Llc	director, 10 percent owner	100 5TH AVE, 3RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10011
Amish A Jani	director, 10 percent owner
Richard R Heitzmann	director, 10 percent owner	500 NYALA FARM ROAD, WESTPORT CT 06880
James Chiddix	director	C/O STARRY GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 38 CHAUNCY STREET, SUITE 200, BOSTON MA 33408
Joseph T Lipowski	officer: See Remarks	C/O LOJACK CORPORATION, 200 LOWDERBROOK DRIVE, SUITE 1000, WESTWOOD MA 02090
William J Lundregan	officer: See Remarks	C/O STARRY GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 38 CHAUNCY STREET, SUITE 200, BOSTON MA 02111
Jeremy R Mackechnie	officer: See Remarks	C/O STARRY GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 38 CHAUNCY STREET, SUITE 200, BOSTON MA 02111
Alexis Cedric Moulle-berteaux	officer: See Remarks	C/O STARRY GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 38 CHAUNCY STREET, SUITE 200, BOSTON MA 02111