Tango Therapeutics (Tango Therapeutics) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2021. Start your Free Trial

What is Tango Therapeutics Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Tango Therapeutics Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Tango Therapeutics Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Tango Therapeutics's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Tango Therapeutics (Tango Therapeutics) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Tango Therapeutics Inc (NAS:TNGX) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

201 Brookline Avenue, Suite 901, Boston, MA, USA, 02215

Website

https://www.tangotx.com

Tango Therapeutics Inc is a biotechnology company. It is dedicated towards discovering novel drug targets and delivering the next generation of precision medicine for the treatment of cancer. It is engaged in the business of discovering and developing precision oncology therapies.

Executives

Adam Crystal	officer: See Remarks	C4 THERAPEUTICS, INC., 490 ARSENAL WAY, SUITE 200, WATERTOWN MA 02472
Boxer Capital, Llc	other: See remarks	12860 EL CAMINO REAL, SUITE 300, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Ecor1 Capital, Llc	10 percent owner	357 TEHAMA STREET #3, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
John B Ketchum	director	TANGO THERAPEUTICS, INC., 201 BROOKLINE AVE., SUITE 901, BOSTON MA 02215
Joseph Lewis	other: See remarks	PO BOX N7776, LYFORD BAHAMAS
Trv Gp Vi, Llc	director	201 BROOKLINE AVE., BOSTON MA 02215
Third Rock Ventures Gp Vi, L.p.	director	201 BROOKLINE AVE, SUITE 1401, BOSTON MA 02215
Third Rock Ventures Vi, L.p.	director	29 NEWBURY STREET, 3RD FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Aaron I. Davis	other: See remarks	12860 EL CAMINO REAL, SUITE 300, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Boxer Asset Management Inc.	other: See remarks	CAY HOUSE, EP TAYLOR DRIVE N7776, LYFORD CAY, NEW PROVIDENCE C5 00000
Mva Investors, Llc	other: See remarks	12860 EL CAMINO REAL, SUITE 300, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Aaron Weitzman	officer: Chief Medical Officer	TANGO THERAPEUTICS, INC., 201 BROOKLINE AVE., SUITE 901, BOSTON MA 02215
Marc Rudoltz	officer: Chief Medical Officer	TANGO THERAPEUTICS, INC., 100 BINNEY STREET, UNIT 700, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Douglas Barry	officer: See Remarks	TANGO THERAPEUTICS, INC., 100 BINNEY STREET, UNIT 700, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Third Rock Ventures Iv, L.p.	10 percent owner	29 NEWBURY STREET, 3RD FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116