GeneDx Holdings (GeneDx Holdings) Predictability Rank

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What is GeneDx Holdings Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

GeneDx Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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GeneDx Holdings (GeneDx Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Healthcare Providers & Services » GeneDx Holdings Corp (NAS:WGS) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

333 Ludlow Street, North Tower, 6th Floor, Stamford, CT, USA, 06902

Website

https://www.genedx.com

GeneDx Holdings Corp delivers personalized and actionable health insights to inform diagnosis, direct treatment and improve drug discovery. The company is uniquely positioned to accelerate the use of genomic and large-scale clinical information to enable precision medicine as the standard of care. GeneDx is at the forefront of transforming healthcare through its various exome and genome testing and interpretation, fueled by one of the world's substantial rare disease data sets. It has two segments GeneDx and Legacy Sema4 diagnostics.

Executives

Kareem Saad	officer: Chief Business Officer	C/O SEMA4 HOLDINGS CORP, 333 LUDLOW STREET, NORTH TOWER, 8TH FL., STAMFORD CT 06902
Katherine Stueland	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	458 BRANNAN STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Kevin Feeley	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O SEMA4 HOLDINGS CORP, 333 LUDLOW STREET, NORTH TOWER, 8TH FL., STAMFORD CT 06902
Jason Ryan	director	C/O FOUNDATION MEDICINE, INC., ONE KENDALL SQUARE, SUITE B3501, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Keith A. Meister	director, 10 percent owner	C/O ICAHN CAPITAL LP, 767 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 4700, NEW YORK NY 10153
Pfenniger Richard C Jr	director	4400 BISCAYNE BLVD., MIAMI FL 33137
Karen Ann White	officer: Chief People Officer	C/O SEMA4 HOLDINGS CORP, 333 LUDLOW STREET, NORTH TOWER, 8TH FL., STAMFORD CT 06902
Casdin Partners Fo1-msv, Lp	director, 10 percent owner	C/O CASDIN PARTNERS GP, LLC, 1350 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, SUITE 2600, NEW YORK NY 10019
Casdin Partners Master Fund, L.p.	director, 10 percent owner	WALKER HOUSE, 87 MARY STREET, GEORGE TOWN E9 KY1-9001
Eli Casdin	director, 10 percent owner	1350 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, SUITE 1140, NEW YORK NY 10019
Casdin Capital, Llc	director, 10 percent owner	1350 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, SUITE 2600, NEW YORK NY 10019
Casdin Partners Gp, Llc	director, 10 percent owner	1350 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, SUITE 1140, NEW YORK NY 10019
Icahn School Of Medicine At Mount Sinai	10 percent owner	1 GUSTAVE L. LEVY PLACE, NEW YORK NY 10029
Corvex Management Lp	director, 10 percent owner	667 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10065
Opko Health, Inc.	10 percent owner	4400 BISCAYNE BLVD., MIAMI FL 33137