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ARO Liquidation (ARO Liquidation) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 0.00% (As of Jul. 2016)


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What is ARO Liquidation Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. ARO Liquidation's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for ARO Liquidation's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

AROPQ's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Retail - Cyclical industry.
Industry Median: 14.315
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


ARO Liquidation Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for ARO Liquidation's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

ARO Liquidation Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

ARO Liquidation Annual Data
Trend Jan07 Jan08 Jan09 Jan10 Jan11 Jan12 Jan13 Jan14 Jan15 Jan16
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 29.59 8.04 13.42 - -

ARO Liquidation Quarterly Data
Oct11 Jan12 Apr12 Jul12 Oct12 Jan13 Apr13 Jul13 Oct13 Jan14 Apr14 Jul14 Oct14 Jan15 Apr15 Jul15 Oct15 Jan16 Apr16 Jul16
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of ARO Liquidation's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, ARO Liquidation's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ARO Liquidation's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, ARO Liquidation's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ARO Liquidation's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



ARO Liquidation Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

ARO Liquidation's Forward Rate of Return of Jul. 2016 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=1.20457143/0.03+-0.1946
=3,995.78 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


ARO Liquidation  (OTCPK:AROPQ) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


ARO Liquidation Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of ARO Liquidation's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


ARO Liquidation (ARO Liquidation) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
ARO Liquidation Inc is a U.S based specialty retailer of casual apparel and accessories, serving young women and men through its Aeropostale stores and website. It operates in two segments including retail stores and e-commerce, and international licensing. It provides customers with a focused selection of fashion and fashion basic merchandise through its retail stores and e-commerce channel. It maintains control over its brands by designing, sourcing, marketing and selling all of its own merchandise, other than in licensed stores outside the United States. The company has its operations in the United States and Canada.
Executives
Evelyn S Dilsaver director C/O LONGS DRUG STORES CORPORATION, 141 NORTH CIVIC DRIVE, WALNUT CREEK CA 94596
Karin Hirtler-garvey director 112 W. 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10120
John N Haugh director 3231 S E SIXTH AVENUE, TOPEKA KS 66607
Marc G. Schuback officer: SVP - General Counsel C/O DELIA*S, INC. 50 WEST 23RD STREET NEW YORK NY 10010
David B Vermylen director C/O AEROPOSTALE INC, 1372 BROADWAY 8TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10018
Stefan L Kaluzny other: Former Director and 10% Owner C/O SYCAMORE PARTNERS, 9 WEST 57TH STREET, 31ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Kent A Kleeberger director
Dana Messina 10 percent owner 1100 SANTA MONICA BLVD SUITE 825 LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Emilia Fabricant officer: EVP, Aeropostale 400 VALLEY DRIVE, BRISBANE CA 94005
John Howard director 277 PARK AVENUE, 39TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10172
Kenneth B Gilman director C/O ASBURY AUTOMOTIVE GROUP, 3 LANDMARK SQUARE STE 500, STAMFORD CT 06901
Arthur Rubinfeld director 2401 UTAH AVE. S., SUITE 800, SEATTLE WA 98134
Mindy C Meads officer: Former Co-CEO 3333 BEVERLY ROAD, HOFFMAN ESTATES IL 60179
Bodil Arlander director 62 WEST 62ND ST. APT 14D NEW YORK NY 10023
David H Edwab director

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