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Solta Medical, (FRA:NZ5) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : -20.00% (As of Sep. 2013)


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What is Solta Medical, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Solta Medical,'s forward rate of return for was -20.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Solta Medical,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:NZ5's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Medical Devices & Instruments industry.
Industry Median: 10.895
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Solta Medical, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Solta Medical,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Solta Medical, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Solta Medical, Annual Data
Trend Dec02 Dec04 Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -67.81 -18.79 -29.20 -18.94

Solta Medical, Quarterly Data
Dec08 Mar09 Jun09 Sep09 Dec09 Mar10 Jun10 Sep10 Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.13 -18.94 -19.90 -18.79 -20.00

Competitive Comparison of Solta Medical,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Medical Devices subindustry, Solta Medical,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Solta Medical,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Medical Devices & Instruments Industry

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, Solta Medical,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Solta Medical,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Solta Medical, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Solta Medical,'s Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2013 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0/1.627+0
=0.00 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Solta Medical,  (FRA:NZ5) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Solta Medical, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Solta Medical,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Solta Medical, (FRA:NZ5) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
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Address
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Solta Medical, Inc. was incorporated in California on January 11, 1996 as Thermage, Inc. and reincorporated in Delaware on September 10, 2001. It designs, develops, manufactures and markets energy-based medical device systems for aesthetic applications. The Company markets its systems and treatment tips in the United States to physician practices primarily through a direct sales force and internationally in over 100 countries through both a network of distributors and direct sales force. Its customers consist mainly of dermatologists and plastic surgeons and its expanded customer base includes other specialties such as general and family practitioners, gynecologists, ophthalmologists and others. These systems are marketed under the brand names Fraxel and Thermage. It currently markets four Fraxel products: The re:store, re:store Dual, re:fine and re:pair. The Fraxel re:store, Fraxel re:store Dual and Fraxel re:fine laser platforms non-ablatively treat a range of applications that include wrinkles and fine lines, pigmentation, sun damage, uneven skin texture and melasma. The Company's Thermage systems consist of a radiofrequency (RF) generator with cooling capability, through the delivery of a coolant to protect the outer layer of the skin from over-heating, and a hand piece that, in conjunction with a treatment tip, regulates epidermis cooling and monitors treatment data. Its system includes a variety of single-use, disposable treatment tips that attach to the hand piece and are selected by physicians based on the procedure to be performed and the size of the area to be treated. The Company sells its Thermage and Fraxel systems to physicians in the United States primarily through a direct sales force of trained sales consultants. Its industry is subject to intense competition. It compete directly against laser and light-based skin rejuvenation products and procedures offered by companies such as Alma Laser, Cutera, Cynosure, Lumenis, Lutronic, Palomar Medical Technologies, Sciton and Syneron Medical. In addition, it compete against existing and emerging treatment alternatives such as cosmetic surgery, chemical peels, microdermabrasion, Botox, dermal fillers and collagen injections. The Company's Thermage and Fraxel systems are medical devices and are subject to extensive and rigorous regulation by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA), as well as other federal and state regulatory bodies in the United States and laws and regulations of foreign authorities in other countries.

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