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Golden Enterprises (Golden Enterprises) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 2.48% (As of May. 2016)


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What is Golden Enterprises Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Golden Enterprises's forward rate of return for was 2.48%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Golden Enterprises's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

GLDC's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry.
Industry Median: 7.435
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Golden Enterprises Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Golden Enterprises's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Golden Enterprises Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Golden Enterprises Annual Data
Trend May07 May08 May09 May10 May11 May12 May13 May14 May15 May16
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.15 9.53 -7.54 -8.48 2.48

Golden Enterprises Quarterly Data
Aug11 Nov11 Feb12 May12 Aug12 Nov12 Feb13 May13 Aug13 Nov13 Feb14 May14 Aug14 Nov14 Feb15 May15 Aug15 Nov15 Feb16 May16
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -8.48 -6.41 -3.44 -0.98 2.48

Competitive Comparison of Golden Enterprises's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Golden Enterprises's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Golden Enterprises's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Golden Enterprises's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Golden Enterprises's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Golden Enterprises Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Golden Enterprises's Forward Rate of Return of May. 2016 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.15219048/5.47+-0.003
=2.48 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Golden Enterprises  (NAS:GLDC) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Golden Enterprises Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Golden Enterprises's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Golden Enterprises (Golden Enterprises) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Golden Enterprises Inc was originally organized under the laws of the State of Alabama as Magic City Food Products, Inc. on June 11, 1946. On March 11, 1958, it adopted the name Golden Flake, Inc. The Company was reorganized December 31, 1967 as a Delaware corporation without changing any of its assets, liabilities, or business. The Company produces, markets, and distributes snack products in the Southeastern United States since 1923. The Company manufactures and distributes a salted snack items, such as potato chips, tortilla chips, corn chips, fried pork skins, baked and fried cheese curls, onion rings, and puff corn. It also sells canned dips, pretzels, peanut butter crackers, cheese crackers, dried meat products, and nuts packaged by other manufacturers using the Golden Flake label. The Company purchases raw materials used in manufacturing and processing its snack food products from various sources. The Company also purchases flexible bags or other suitable wrapping material for the storage, shipment, and presentation of the finished product to its customers. It sells its products through its own sales organization and independent distributors to commercial establishments, which sell food products in Alabama, Tennessee, Georgia, Mississippi, Louisiana, Kentucky, and South Carolina as well as parts of Florida, North Carolina, Arkansas, Missouri, Oklahoma, Virginia, Indiana, and Texas. The products are distributed to its customers by either company transportation or commercial carrier out of the Birmingham and Ocala plants. The Company owns central branch warehouses in Birmingham, Montgomery, Midfield, Demopolis, Fort Payne, Muscle Shoals, Huntsville, Phoenix City, Tuscaloosa, Mobile, Dothan, and Oxford, Alabama; Gulfport and Jackson, Mississippi; Knoxville and Memphis, Tennessee; Decatur and Macon, Georgia; Panama City, Tallahassee, and Pensacola, Florida; and New Orleans, Louisiana. It competes with companies, which are engaged in the production and distribution of food products similar to those produced and sold by the Golden Enterprises, Inc. The name "Golden Flake" and its regularly used symbol are federally registered trademarks of the Company. The Company also owns other trademarks such as "The South's Original Potato Chip", a Golden Flake design from 1922, the name "Sweetheat" and certain other trademarks not used on a regular basis.

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