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Collins Foods (ASX:CKF) Free Cash Flow : A$80 Mil (TTM As of Oct. 2023)


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What is Collins Foods Free Cash Flow?

Collins Foods's total free cash flow for the months ended in Oct. 2023 was A$47 Mil. Its total free cash flow for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Oct. 2023 was A$80 Mil.

Collins Foods's Free Cash Flow per Share for the months ended in Oct. 2023 was A$0.39. Its free cash flow per share for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Oct. 2023 was A$0.68.

During the past 12 months, the average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate of Collins Foods was -8.60% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was -8.40% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was 20.30% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was 15.90% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Free Cash Flow Growth Rate using Free Cash Flow per Share data.

During the past 12 years, Collins Foods's highest 3-Year average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was 50.40% per year. The lowest was -8.40% per year. And the median was 13.70% per year.


Collins Foods Free Cash Flow Historical Data

The historical data trend for Collins Foods's Free Cash Flow can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Collins Foods Free Cash Flow Chart

Collins Foods Annual Data
Trend Apr14 Apr15 Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23
Free Cash Flow
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 42.01 91.51 100.80 83.12 70.59

Collins Foods Semi-Annual Data
Apr14 Oct14 Apr15 Oct15 Apr16 Oct16 Apr17 Oct17 Apr18 Oct18 Apr19 Oct19 Apr20 Oct20 Apr21 Oct21 Apr22 Oct22 Apr23 Oct23
Free Cash Flow Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 33.15 49.97 37.06 33.53 46.64

Collins Foods Free Cash Flow Calculation

Free Cash Flow is considered one of the most important parameters to measure a company's earnings power by value investors because it is not subject to estimates of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization (DDA). However, when we look at the Free Cash Flow, we should look from a long term perspective, because any year's Free Cash Flow can be drastically affected by the spending on Property, Plant, & Equipment (PPE) of the business in that year. Over the long term, Free Cash Flow should give pretty good picture on the real earnings power of the company.

Collins Foods's Free Cash Flow for the fiscal year that ended in Apr. 2023 is calculated as

Free Cash Flow (A: Apr. 2023 )=Cash Flow from Operations+Capital Expenditure
=146.216+-75.626
=71

Collins Foods's Free Cash Flow for the quarter that ended in Oct. 2023 is calculated as

Free Cash Flow (Q: Oct. 2023 )=Cash Flow from Operations+Capital Expenditure
=82.16+-35.524
=47

Free Cash Flow for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Oct. 2023 adds up the semi-annually data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was A$80 Mil.

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Collins Foods  (ASX:CKF) Free Cash Flow Explanation

Free Cash Flow is very close to Warren Buffett's definition of Owner's Earnings, except that in Warren Buffett's Owner's Earnings, the spending for Property, Plant, and Equipment is only for maintenance (replacement), while in the Free Cash Flow calculation, the cost of new Property, Plant, and Equipment due to business expansion is also deducted. There, Free Cash Flow is more conservative than Owner's Earnings.

In Don Yacktman's calculation of forward rate of return, he uses Free Cash Flow for the calculation. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation.

This is what Yacktman said in his March 2012 interview - when the S&P 500 was at 1400:

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over seven years. The reason we use seven years is because research shows that seven years is the length of the typical business cycle.

Therefore, as of Apr23, Collins Foods's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % (Apr23)=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.59316667/8.64+0.1358
=20.45 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Be Aware

Free Cash Flow within a report period can be affected by management's decisions of capital spending. Therefore, it is important to look at long term when it comes to Free Cash Flow.


Collins Foods Free Cash Flow Related Terms

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Collins Foods (ASX:CKF) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
485 Kingsford Smith Drive, Level 3, KSD1, Hamilton, QLD, AUS, 4007
Collins Foods is an operator of quick service restaurants, or QSRs. It franchises restaurant brands from U.S.-listed Yum Brands, including KFC in Australia, Germany, and the Netherlands, as well as Taco Bell in Australia. Most of its revenue and earnings are generated in Australia, where Collins is the largest franchisee of KFC, ahead of Restaurant Brands New Zealand.In the Netherlands, Collins has signed a corporate franchise agreement, giving it more control over development and oversight of the Dutch franchisee network.Earnings growth is underpinned by its store network expansion, both new restaurants and acquisitions of existing sites. Competitive pricing is key to maintaining share in the QSR market, and the company has generally increased at or below consumer price index growth.

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