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New Hope (FRA:OD8) Free Cash Flow : €246 Mil (TTM As of Jan. 2024)


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What is New Hope Free Cash Flow?

New Hope's total free cash flow for the months ended in Jan. 2024 was €-11 Mil. Its total free cash flow for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Jan. 2024 was €246 Mil.

New Hope's Free Cash Flow per Share for the months ended in Jan. 2024 was €-0.01. Its free cash flow per share for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Jan. 2024 was €0.28.

During the past 12 months, the average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate of New Hope was -72.60% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was 104.30% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was 40.00% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Free Cash Flow Growth Rate using Free Cash Flow per Share data.

During the past 13 years, New Hope's highest 3-Year average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was 104.30% per year. The lowest was -195.50% per year. And the median was -10.50% per year.


New Hope Free Cash Flow Historical Data

The historical data trend for New Hope's Free Cash Flow can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

New Hope Free Cash Flow Chart

New Hope Annual Data
Trend Jul14 Jul15 Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23
Free Cash Flow
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 121.69 87.06 147.74 714.72 815.49

New Hope Semi-Annual Data
Jul14 Jan15 Jul15 Jan16 Jul16 Jan17 Jul17 Jan18 Jul18 Jan19 Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Jan21 Jul21 Jan22 Jul22 Jan23 Jul23 Jan24
Free Cash Flow Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 275.71 422.01 591.36 256.90 -11.13

New Hope Free Cash Flow Calculation

Free Cash Flow is considered one of the most important parameters to measure a company's earnings power by value investors because it is not subject to estimates of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization (DDA). However, when we look at the Free Cash Flow, we should look from a long term perspective, because any year's Free Cash Flow can be drastically affected by the spending on Property, Plant, & Equipment (PPE) of the business in that year. Over the long term, Free Cash Flow should give pretty good picture on the real earnings power of the company.

New Hope's Free Cash Flow for the fiscal year that ended in Jul. 2023 is calculated as

Free Cash Flow (A: Jul. 2023 )=Cash Flow from Operations+Capital Expenditure
=929.474+-113.983
=815

New Hope's Free Cash Flow for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2024 is calculated as

Free Cash Flow (Q: Jan. 2024 )=Cash Flow from Operations+Capital Expenditure
=79.558+-90.688
=-11

Free Cash Flow for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Jan. 2024 adds up the semi-annually data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was €246 Mil.

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


New Hope  (FRA:OD8) Free Cash Flow Explanation

Free Cash Flow is very close to Warren Buffett's definition of Owner's Earnings, except that in Warren Buffett's Owner's Earnings, the spending for Property, Plant, and Equipment is only for maintenance (replacement), while in the Free Cash Flow calculation, the cost of new Property, Plant, and Equipment due to business expansion is also deducted. There, Free Cash Flow is more conservative than Owner's Earnings.

In Don Yacktman's calculation of forward rate of return, he uses Free Cash Flow for the calculation. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation.

This is what Yacktman said in his March 2012 interview - when the S&P 500 was at 1400:

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over seven years. The reason we use seven years is because research shows that seven years is the length of the typical business cycle.

Therefore, as of Jul23, New Hope's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % (Jul23)=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=-0.1135/3.166+-0.2625
=-29.83 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Be Aware

Free Cash Flow within a report period can be affected by management's decisions of capital spending. Therefore, it is important to look at long term when it comes to Free Cash Flow.


New Hope Free Cash Flow Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of New Hope's Free Cash Flow provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


New Hope (FRA:OD8) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
175 Eagle Street, Level 16, Brisbane, QLD, AUS, 4000
New Hope Corporation is an Australian thermal coal miner. It has two operating mines: the 100%-owned New Acland coal mine in Queensland and its 80%-owned Bengalla coal mine in New South Wales. The company should produce around 13 million metric tons of equity salable thermal coal annually from fiscal 2027, up from around 8 million in fiscal 2023, driven by the construction and ramp up of New Acland Stage 3. The vast majority of New Hope's production is sold into seaborne thermal coal export markets. Reserves at New Acland and Bengalla are sufficient to support multidecade mine lives. New Hope also has significant undeveloped coal resources in Queensland, as well as a 15% holding in the Malabar-Maxwell metallurgical coal mine, which began production in 2023.

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