GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » Forest City Realty Trust Inc (NYSE:FCE.B) » Definitions » Altman Z2-Score

Forest City Realty Trust (Forest City Realty Trust) Altman Z2-Score : 2.85 (As of Jun. 10, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1992. Start your Free Trial

What is Forest City Realty Trust Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Good Sign:

Forest City Realty Trust has a Altman Z2-Score of 2.85, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z2-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Forest City Realty Trust's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:


Forest City Realty Trust Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Forest City Realty Trust's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Forest City Realty Trust Altman Z2-Score Chart

Forest City Realty Trust Annual Data
Trend Jan08 Jan09 Jan10 Jan11 Jan12 Jan13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Forest City Realty Trust Quarterly Data
Oct13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Forest City Realty Trust's Altman Z2-Score

For the REIT - Retail subindustry, Forest City Realty Trust's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Forest City Realty Trust's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Forest City Realty Trust's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Forest City Realty Trust's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Forest City Realty Trust Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Forest City Realty Trust's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.0895+3.26*0.1768+6.72*0.0967+1.05*0.9854
=2.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2018:
Total Assets was $8,576.3 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,346.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $578.0 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $1,516.0 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 430.448 + 41.264 + 197.278 + 41.922 = $710.9 Mil.
Interest Expense was -30.87 + -28.954 + -26.967 + -31.958 = $-118.7 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $4,202.6 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1346.038 - 578.036)/8576.346
=0.0895

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=1516.012/8576.346
=0.1768

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(710.912 - -118.749)/8576.346
=0.0967

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(4141.404 - 0)/4202.624
=0.9854

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Forest City Realty Trust has a Altman Z2-Score of 2.85 indicating it is in Safe Zones.


Forest City Realty Trust  (NYSE:FCE.B) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Forest City Realty Trust Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Forest City Realty Trust's Altman Z2-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Forest City Realty Trust (Forest City Realty Trust) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Forest City Realty Trust Inc is engaged in the ownership, development, management and acquisition of commercial and residential real estate and land throughout the United States. The company's segments include the Commercial Group, Residential Group, Land Development Group and Corporate Activities. It operates mixed-use projects such as residential rental properties, regional malls, specialty/urban retail centers, office and life science buildings and others. In addition, it also engaged in acquiring and sale of both land and developed lots to residential, commercial and industrial clients. Revenue for the group is derived from the source of rental, service and management fees and land sales.