GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Origin Energy Ltd (ASX:ORG) » Definitions » Altman Z2-Score

Origin Energy (ASX:ORG) Altman Z2-Score : 1.67 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1961. Start your Free Trial

What is Origin Energy Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Origin Energy has a Altman Z2-Score of 1.67, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Origin Energy is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.1, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Origin Energy's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:ORG' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.21   Med: 1.76   Max: 2.38
Current: 1.67

During the past 13 years, Origin Energy's highest Altman Z2-Score was 2.38. The lowest was 0.21. And the median was 1.76.


Origin Energy Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Origin Energy's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Origin Energy Altman Z2-Score Chart

Origin Energy Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.38 1.84 0.21 0.94 1.67

Origin Energy Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 0.94 - 1.67 -

Competitive Comparison of Origin Energy's Altman Z2-Score

For the Oil & Gas Integrated subindustry, Origin Energy's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Origin Energy's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Origin Energy's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Origin Energy's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Origin Energy Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Origin Energy's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.0108+3.26*0.0263+6.72*0.0871+1.05*0.8858
=1.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2023:
Total Assets was A$18,948 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$4,979 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$4,775 Mil.
Retained Earnings was A$498 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was A$1,478 Mil.
Interest Expense was A$-173 Mil.
Total Liabilities was A$10,037 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(4979 - 4775)/18948
=0.0108

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=498/18948
=0.0263

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(1478 - -173)/18948
=0.0871

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(8891 - 0)/10037
=0.8858

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Origin Energy has a Altman Z2-Score of 1.67 indicating it is in Grey Zones.


Origin Energy  (ASX:ORG) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Origin Energy Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Origin Energy's Altman Z2-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Origin Energy (ASX:ORG) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
100 Barangaroo Avenue, Level 32, Tower 1, Barangaroo, Sydney, NSW, AUS, 2000
Origin Energy is a major vertically integrated Australian energy utility. Its energy retailing business is the largest in Australia, with about 4 million customers and a 33% market share. Its portfolio of base-load, intermediate, and peaking electricity plants is one of the largest in the national electricity market, with a capacity of 6,000 megawatts. Origin also operates and owns 27.5% of Australia Pacific LNG, which owns large coal seam gas fields and LNG export facilities in Queensland.

Origin Energy (ASX:ORG) Headlines