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Saul Centers (Saul Centers) Altman Z2-Score : -1.00 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Saul Centers Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

Saul Centers has a Altman Z2-Score of -1.00, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Saul Centers's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BFSpC.CL.PFD' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -1   Med: -0.07   Max: 0.42
Current: -1

During the past 13 years, Saul Centers's highest Altman Z2-Score was 0.42. The lowest was -1.00. And the median was -0.07.


Saul Centers Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Saul Centers's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Saul Centers Altman Z2-Score Chart

Saul Centers Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.12 -0.16 -0.17 -0.48 -0.92

Saul Centers Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.73 -0.80 -0.91 -0.92 -1.00

Competitive Comparison of Saul Centers's Altman Z2-Score

For the REIT - Retail subindustry, Saul Centers's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Saul Centers's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Saul Centers's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Saul Centers's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Saul Centers Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Saul Centers's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*-0.1575+3.26*-0.1439+6.72*0.0578+1.05*0.1069
=-1.00

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2024:
Total Assets was $2,030.31 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $60.89 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $380.63 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-292.21 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 18.263 + 17.463 + 16.711 + 17.189 = $69.63 Mil.
Interest Expense was -11.916 + -12.114 + -11.918 + -11.795 = $-47.74 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $1,516.38 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(60.893 - 380.634)/2030.306
=-0.1575

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-292.213/2030.306
=-0.1439

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(69.626 - -47.743)/2030.306
=0.0578

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(347.087 - 185)/1516.375
=0.1069

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Saul Centers has a Altman Z2-Score of -1.00 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


Saul Centers  (NYSE:BFSpC.CL.PFD) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Saul Centers Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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Saul Centers (Saul Centers) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
7501 Wisconsin Avenue, Suite 1500E, Bethesda, MD, USA, 20814-6522
Saul Centers Inc is a self-managed real estate investment trust which invests in, operates, and develops retail and commercial properties. The company's portfolio includes community and neighbourhood shopping centres, office properties, and mixed-use properties. Properties are primarily located in the Washington, D.C. and Maryland metropolitan areas. Saul Centers operates through two business segments: shopping centers, which contribute the maximum portion of total revenue; and mixed-use properties. Major tenants include grocery stores, discount department stores, and drug stores.
Executives
Lori Godby officer: Senior Vice Pres.-Residential 7501 WISCONSIN AVENUE, SUITE 1500, BETHESDA MD 20814
Judith K. Garland officer: SVP, Office and Retail 7501 WISCONSIN AVENUE, SUITE 1500, BETHESDA MD 20814
Carlos Lawrence Heard officer: Senior Vice President & CFO 7501 WISCONSIN AVENUE, SUITE 1500, BETHESDA MD 20814
David Todd Pearson officer: Executive V.P.-Real Estate 7501 WISCONSIN AVENUE, SUITE 1500, BETHESDA MD 20895
Mizuho Securities Usa Llc other: See Remarks 1271 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, FLOORS - 2,3,4,18,19, NEW YORK NY 10020
Willoughby B. Laycock director, officer: VP-Residential Development 7501 WISCONSIN AVE., SUITE 1400, BETHESDA MD 20814
Powell Earl A Iii director 7501 WISCONSIN AVENUE, SUITE 1500, BETHESDA MD 20814
Amitha Prabhu officer: VP & Dir. of Internal Audit 7501 WISCONSIN AVENUE, SUITE 1500, BETHESDA MD 20814
Benjamin Underwood officer: Vice President-Residential 7501 WISCONSIN AVENUE, SUITE 1500, BETHESDA MD 20814
Donald A Hachey officer: Senior Vice Pres.-Construction 7501 WISCONSIN AVENUE, SUITE 1500, BETHESDA MD 20814
Saul Andrew M. Ii director 7501 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 15TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
James Page Lansdale officer: Exec. VP - Real Estate 7501 WISCONSIN AVENUE, SUITE 1500, BETHESDA MD 20814
Steven N. Corey officer: Senior VP - Office Leasing 7501 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 15TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Debra Noreen Stencel officer: Senior VP & General Counsel 7501 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 14TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Christine Nicolaides Kearns officer: Executive Vice President 7501 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 15TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814

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