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Evolus (Evolus) Altman Z2-Score : -9.22 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Evolus Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

Evolus has a Altman Z2-Score of -9.22, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Evolus's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

EOLS' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -12.69   Med: -8.51   Max: 0.28
Current: -9.21

During the past 9 years, Evolus's highest Altman Z2-Score was 0.28. The lowest was -12.69. And the median was -8.51.


Evolus Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Evolus's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Evolus Altman Z2-Score Chart

Evolus Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only -1.60 -12.69 -2.96 -9.45 -9.21

Evolus Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -9.45 -11.18 -10.33 -11.05 -9.21

Competitive Comparison of Evolus's Altman Z2-Score

For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, Evolus's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Evolus's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Evolus's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Evolus's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Evolus Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Evolus's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.3393+3.26*-2.9576+6.72*-0.2523+1.05*-0.0987
=-9.22

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $189.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $112.4 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $48.3 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-559.0 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -11.725 + -16.899 + -18.117 + -14.768 = $-61.5 Mil.
Interest Expense was -4.075 + -3.786 + -3.182 + -2.789 = $-13.8 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $209.7 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(112.421 - 48.291)/188.998
=0.3393

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-558.979/188.998
=-2.9576

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-61.509 - -13.832)/188.998
=-0.2523

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(-20.689 - 0)/209.687
=-0.0987

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Evolus has a Altman Z2-Score of -9.22 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


Evolus  (NAS:EOLS) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Evolus Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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Evolus (Evolus) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
520 Newport Center Drive, Suite 1200, Newport Beach, CA, USA, 92660
Evolus Inc is a performance beauty company with a customer-centric approach to delivering breakthrough products in the self-pay aesthetic market. The company's first commercial product is Jeuveau, a proprietary of 900 kilodalton, purified botulinum toxin type A formulation indicated for the temporary improvement in the appearance of moderate to severe glabellar lines, also known as frown lines, in adults. Its primary market is the self-pay aesthetic market, which includes medical products purchased by physicians and other customers that are then sold to consumers or used in procedures for aesthetic indications that are not reimbursed by any third-party payor, such as Medicaid, Medicare, or commercial insurance. It generates product revenue from the sale of Jeuveau in the United States.
Executives
David Moatazedi director, officer: See Remarks C/O OBALON THERAPEUTICS, INC., 5421 AVENIDA ENCINAS, SUITE F, CARLSBAD CA 92008
Medytox Inc. 10 percent owner 78, GANGNI 1-GIL, OCHANG-EUP,, CHEONGWON-GU, CHEOGJU-SI M5 28126
Sandra Beaver officer: Chief Financial Officer 520 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 1200, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Tomoko Yamagishi-dressler officer: Chief Marketing Officer 520 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 1200, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Rui Avelar officer: See Remarks 1618 STATION STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6A 1B6
Vikram Malik director 17901 VON KARMAN AVENUE, SUITE 150, IRVINE CA 92614
Alphaeon 1 Llc 10 percent owner 4040 MACARTHUR BOULEVARD, SUITE 310, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Robert Hayman director 8550 HIGUERA ST, CULVER CITY CA 90232
Simone Blank director C/O SIRONA, WASSERFELDSTRASSE 30 A-5020, SALZBURG C4 5020
Peter C Farrell director RESMED INC, 14040 DANIELSON STREET, POWAY CA 92064-6857
Lauren P Silvernail officer: See Remarks 15279 ALTON PARKWAY, SUITE #100, IRVINE CA 92618
David N Gill director C/O NXSTAGE MEDICAL INC. (NXTM), 439 SOUTH UNION STREET, 5TH FLOOR, LAWRENCE MA 01843
Crystal Muilenburg officer: Chief Marketing Officer 520 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 1200, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Brady Stewart director 520 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 1200, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Michael M. Jafar officer: Chief Marketing Officer 17901 VON KARMAN AVENUE, SUITE 150, IRVINE CA 92614