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Oak Street Health (Oak Street Health) Altman Z2-Score : -2.86 (As of May. 25, 2024)


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What is Oak Street Health Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

Oak Street Health has a Altman Z2-Score of -2.86, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Oak Street Health's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

OSH' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -7.69   Med: -1.77   Max: 0.44
Current: -2.86

During the past 5 years, Oak Street Health's highest Altman Z2-Score was 0.44. The lowest was -7.69. And the median was -1.77.


Oak Street Health Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Oak Street Health's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Oak Street Health Altman Z2-Score Chart

Oak Street Health Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Altman Z2-Score
- -7.69 0.44 -0.68 -2.86

Oak Street Health Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.68 -1.28 -1.96 -2.22 -2.86

Competitive Comparison of Oak Street Health's Altman Z2-Score

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, Oak Street Health's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Oak Street Health's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Oak Street Health's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Oak Street Health's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Oak Street Health Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Oak Street Health's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.1925+3.26*-0.7176+6.72*-0.2468+1.05*-0.1168
=-2.86

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2022:
Total Assets was $2,055 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,359 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $963 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-1,475 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -134.2 + -130.4 + -148.3 + -96.7 = $-510 Mil.
Interest Expense was -1.4 + 0 + -0.5 + -0.6 = $-3 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $2,322 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1358.6 - 963.1)/2054.7
=0.1925

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-1474.5/2054.7
=-0.7176

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-509.6 - -2.5)/2054.7
=-0.2468

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(-271.1 - 0)/2322
=-0.1168

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Oak Street Health has a Altman Z2-Score of -2.86 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


Oak Street Health  (NYSE:OSH) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Oak Street Health Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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Oak Street Health (Oak Street Health) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
30 W. Monroe Street, Suite 1200, Chicago, IL, USA, 60603
Oak Street Health Inc is a fast-growing network of value-based, primary care centers for adults on Medicare. The company operates a healthcare model focused on the quality of care over the volume of services and assumes the full financial risk of its patients.
Executives
Regina M. Benjamin director 51 SAWYER ROAD, SUITE 200, WALTHAM MA 02453
Geoffrey M Price director, officer: See Remarks 30 W. MONROE STREET, SUITE 1200, CHICAGO IL 60603
Robert Guenthner officer: Chief Legal Officer 30 W. MONROE STREET, SUITE 1200, CHICAGO IL 60603
Timothy M Cook officer: Chief Financial Officer 30 W. MONROE STREET, SUITE 1200, CHICAGO IL 60603
Brian Clem officer: President, Clinical Operations 30 W. MONROE STREET, SUITE 1200, CHICAGO IL 60603
Griffin Myers director, officer: See Remarks 30 W. MONROE STREET, SUITE 1200, CHICAGO IL 60603
Newlight Partners Lp 10 percent owner C/O NEWLIGHT PARTNERS LP, 320 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Michael T Pykosz director, officer: See Remarks 30 W. MONROE STREET, SUITE 1200, CHICAGO IL 60603
General Atlantic, L.p. 10 percent owner 55 EAST 52ND STREET, 33RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10055
General Atlantic (spv) Gp, Llc 10 percent owner 55 EAST 52ND STREET, 33RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10055
Cynthia Hiskes officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 30 W. MONROE STREET, SUITE 1200, CHICAGO IL 60603
Gap Coinvestments V, Llc 10 percent owner 55 EAST 52ND STREET, 33RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10055
Kim Keck director 30 W. MONROE STREET, SUITE 1200, CHICAGO IL 60603
Tamara Jurgenson officer: Chief Growth Officer 30 W. MONROE STREET, SUITE 1200, CHICAGO IL 60603
Newlight Harbour Point Spv Llc 10 percent owner C/O NEWLIGHT PARTNERS LP, 320 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022

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