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The RealReal (The RealReal) Altman Z2-Score : -10.27 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is The RealReal Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

The RealReal has a Altman Z2-Score of -10.27, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for The RealReal's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

REAL' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -10.55   Med: -3.9   Max: 2.92
Current: -10.27

During the past 7 years, The RealReal's highest Altman Z2-Score was 2.92. The lowest was -10.55. And the median was -3.90.


The RealReal Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for The RealReal's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The RealReal Altman Z2-Score Chart

The RealReal Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial 2.92 -1.31 -2.25 -5.54 -10.27

The RealReal Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -5.54 -8.06 -9.92 -10.14 -10.27

Competitive Comparison of The RealReal's Altman Z2-Score

For the Luxury Goods subindustry, The RealReal's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The RealReal's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, The RealReal's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The RealReal's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



The RealReal Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

The RealReal's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.1054+3.26*-2.5052+6.72*-0.3524+1.05*-0.4043
=-10.27

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $446.9 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $235.9 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $188.9 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-1,119.6 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -21.657 + -22.902 + -41.216 + -82.414 = $-168.2 Mil.
Interest Expense was -2.683 + -2.673 + -2.678 + -2.667 = $-10.7 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $750.2 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(235.947 - 188.862)/446.923
=0.1054

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-1119.625/446.923
=-2.5052

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-168.189 - -10.701)/446.923
=-0.3524

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(-303.299 - 0)/750.222
=-0.4043

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

The RealReal has a Altman Z2-Score of -10.27 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


The RealReal  (NAS:REAL) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


The RealReal Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of The RealReal's Altman Z2-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


The RealReal (The RealReal) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
55 Francisco Street, Suite 400, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94133
The RealReal is the largest luxury resale platform in the U.S., generating $1.8 billion in 2022 gross merchandise volume and addressing a niche (personal luxury resale) that had previously been serviced by inefficient upscale boutiques and local pawn shops. The firm generates revenue via consignment and first-party sales on its online marketplace, and through direct sales across its brick-and-mortar footprint. With a hands-on approach that actively sources inventory and authenticates every item on its platform, The RealReal is able to justify much higher take rates than peers, working out to roughly 35% of net merchandise value, which excludes returns, cancellations, and first-party sales.
Executives
John E Koryl director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 55 FRANCISCO STREET 4TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94133
Levesque Rati Sahi officer: Chief Operating Officer 55 FRANCISCO, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94133
Robert J Krolik director 873 SANTA CRUZ AVE, SUITE 206, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Luke Thomas Friang officer: Chief Product & Tech Officer 20614 NE 38TH STREET, SAMMAMISH WA 98074
Todd A Suko officer: Chief Legal Officer and Secy. 7251 WEST 4TH STREET, GREELEY CO 80634
Steve Ming Lo officer: VP, Corporate Controller 55 FRANCISCO ST, 6TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94133
Robert K. Julian officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O SPORTSMAN'S WAREHOUSE, 7035 SOUTH HIGH TECH DRIVE, MIDVALE UT 84047
James R. Miller director 4050 EAST COTTON CENTER BLVD. 6-68, PHOENIX AZ 85040
Julie Wainwright director, officer: CEO, President and Chairperson C/O THE REALREAL, INC., 55 FRANCISCO STREET, SUITE 600, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94133
Arnon Katz officer: Chief Product & Technology Off 3331 VERDUN AVE, SAN MATEO CA 94403
Matt Gustke officer: Chief Financial Officer 55 FRANCISCO ST, 6TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94133
Karen Katz director
Fredrik Bjork officer: Chief Technology Officer 55 FRANCISCO ST, 6TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94133
Baird Gilbert L. Iii director 5075 S. SYRACUSE ST., DENVER CO 80237
Michael Andrew Kumin director C/O GREAT HILL PARTNERS, L.P., 200 CLARENDON STREET, 29TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116