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Dutch Bros (Dutch Bros) Altman Z-Score : 2.07 (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is Dutch Bros Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.13 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Dutch Bros has a Altman Z-Score of 2.07, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Dutch Bros is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Dutch Bros's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BROS' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.52   Med: 2.08   Max: 4.51
Current: 2.13

During the past 5 years, Dutch Bros's highest Altman Z-Score was 4.51. The lowest was 1.52. And the median was 2.08.


Dutch Bros Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Dutch Bros's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Dutch Bros Altman Z-Score Chart

Dutch Bros Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
- - 4.51 1.52 2.08

Dutch Bros Quarterly Data
Dec19 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.52 1.56 1.41 1.76 2.08

Competitive Comparison of Dutch Bros's Altman Z-Score

For the Restaurants subindustry, Dutch Bros's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dutch Bros's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Dutch Bros's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dutch Bros's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Dutch Bros Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Dutch Bros's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0381+1.4*-0.0088+3.3*0.0279+0.6*2.3313+1.0*0.5475
=2.07

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $1,764.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $205.3 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $138.1 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-15.6 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -3.061 + 15.229 + 11.562 + -6.811 = $16.9 Mil.
Interest Expense was -6.052 + -9.325 + -9.058 + -7.886 = $-32.3 Mil.
Revenue was 254.123 + 264.507 + 249.879 + 197.267 = $965.8 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $2,536.6 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $1,088.1 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(205.259 - 138.116)/1764.01
=0.0381

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-15.592/1764.01
=-0.0088

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(16.919 - -32.321)/1764.01
=0.0279

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=2536.630/1088.089
=2.3313

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=965.776/1764.01
=0.5475

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Dutch Bros has a Altman Z-Score of 2.07 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Dutch Bros  (NYSE:BROS) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Dutch Bros Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Dutch Bros (Dutch Bros) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
110 SW 4th Street, Grants Pass, OR, USA, 97526
Dutch Bros Inc is an operator and franchisor of drive-thru coffee shops that are focused on serving hand-crafted beverages. The company's hand-crafted beverage-focused lineup features hot and cold espresso-based beverages, cold brew coffee products, proprietary energy drinks, tea, lemonade, smoothies and other beverages. The company has two reportable operating segments company-operated shops and franchising and other.
Executives
Travis Boersma director, 10 percent owner, officer: Executive Chairman of Board C/O DUTCH BROS INC., PO BOX 1929, GRANTS PASS OR 97528
Dm Trust Aggregator, Llc 10 percent owner PO BOX 398, GRANTS PASS OR 97528
Dm Individual Aggregator, Llc 10 percent owner PO BOX 398, GRANTS PASS OR 97528
Brian Maxwell officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O DUTCH BROS INC., PO BOX 1929, GRANTS PASS OR 97528
Tsg7 A Management Llc 10 percent owner C/O TSG CONSUMER PARTNERS, 1100 LARKSPUR LANDING CIRCLE, SUITE 360, LARKSPUR CA 94939
Charles Jemley officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O FOUR CORNERS PROPERTY TRUST, INC., 591 REDWOOD HIGHWAY, SUITE 1150, MILL VALLEY CA 94941
C. David Cone director 4900 N. SCOTTSDALE ROAD, SUITE 2000, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85251
Sullivan Sean B.a. director 1201 DOWDELL LANE, SAINT HELENA CA 94574
Victoria J Tullett officer: Chief Legal Officer C/O DUTCH BROS INC., 110 SW 4TH STREET, GRANTS PASS OR 97526
Joth Ricci officer: CEO and President C/O DUTCH BROS INC., PO BOX 1929, GRANTS PASS OR 97528
Tana Davila officer: Chief Marketing Officer 110 SW 4TH STREET, GRANTS PASS OR 97526
Christine Barone officer: President C/O YELP INC., 350 MISSION STREET, 10TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
John Patrick Graham officer: Chief Marketing Officer C/O ALIGN TECHNOLOGY INC., 2820 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 94131
Ann M Miller director ONE BOWERMAN DRIVE, BEAVERTON OR 97005
Stephen Gillett director 2401 UTAH AVE S, SEATTLE WA 98134

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