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China Gerui Advanced Materials Group (FRA:G60A) Altman Z-Score : 0.47 (As of Jun. 19, 2024)


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What is China Gerui Advanced Materials Group Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

China Gerui Advanced Materials Group has a Altman Z-Score of 0.47, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Gerui Advanced Materials Group's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:G60A' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.8   Med: 1.65   Max: 20.69
Current: 0.8

During the past 8 years, China Gerui Advanced Materials Group's highest Altman Z-Score was 20.69. The lowest was 0.80. And the median was 1.65.


China Gerui Advanced Materials Group Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for China Gerui Advanced Materials Group's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China Gerui Advanced Materials Group Altman Z-Score Chart

China Gerui Advanced Materials Group Annual Data
Trend Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial 4.26 2.04 1.65 1.37 0.90

China Gerui Advanced Materials Group Quarterly Data
Dec09 Mar10 Jun10 Sep10 Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 0.90 0.91 0.86 0.52

Competitive Comparison of China Gerui Advanced Materials Group's Altman Z-Score

For the Steel subindustry, China Gerui Advanced Materials Group's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Gerui Advanced Materials Group's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, China Gerui Advanced Materials Group's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Gerui Advanced Materials Group's Altman Z-Score falls into.



China Gerui Advanced Materials Group Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

China Gerui Advanced Materials Group's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2282+1.4*0.1791+3.3*-0.0807+0.6*0.0184+1.0*0.2049
=0.47

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2014:
Total Assets was €387.22 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €276.85 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €188.48 Mil.
Retained Earnings was €69.35 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -25.638 + -1.006 + -3.025 + -6.442 = €-36.11 Mil.
Interest Expense was -1.589 + -1.225 + -1.168 + -0.867 = €-4.85 Mil.
Revenue was 2.403 + 24.075 + 19.116 + 33.735 = €79.33 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was €3.47 Mil.
Total Liabilities was €188.48 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(276.848 - 188.477)/387.222
=0.2282

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=69.353/387.222
=0.1791

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-36.111 - -4.849)/387.222
=-0.0807

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=3.474/188.477
=0.0184

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=79.329/387.222
=0.2049

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

China Gerui Advanced Materials Group has a Altman Z-Score of 0.47 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


China Gerui Advanced Materials Group  (FRA:G60A) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


China Gerui Advanced Materials Group Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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China Gerui Advanced Materials Group (FRA:G60A) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1 Shuanghu Development Zone, Zhengzhou, Xinzheng City, Henan, CHN, 451191
China Gerui Advanced Materials Group Ltd is a China-based steel processor company. It manufactures high precision cold-rolled narrow strip steel products and converts steel manufactured into thin steel sheets and strips. It mainly produces ultra-thin, high-strength cold-rolled steel products and chromium plates. The company sells its products to domestic Chinese customers who primarily operate in the food and industrial packaging, construction and household decorations materials, electrical appliances, and telecommunications wires and cables industries.

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