The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
Warning Sign:
Altman Z-score of 1.41 is in distress zone. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.
GFI Group has a Altman Z-Score of 1.22, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for GFI Group's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
FRA:GDH1'
s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.53 Med: 1.53 Max: 5.04
Current: 1.41
During the past 13 years, GFI Group's highest Altman Z-Score was 5.04. The lowest was 0.53. And the median was 1.53.
GFI Group Altman Z-Score Historical Data
The historical data trend for GFI Group's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Competitive Comparison of GFI Group's Altman Z-Score
For the Capital Markets subindustry, GFI Group's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
GFI Group's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry
For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, GFI Group's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where GFI Group's Altman Z-Score falls into.
GFI Group Altman Z-Score Calculation
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
GFI Group's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
1.2
*
X1
+
1.4
*
X2
+
3.3
*
X3
+
0.6
*
X4
+
1.0
*
X5
=
1.2
*
0.0324
+
1.4
*
-0.0366
+
3.3
*
0.0036
+
0.6
*
0.8919
+
1.0
*
0.6825
=
1.22
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones
GFI Group has a Altman Z-Score of 1.22 indicating it is in Distress Zones.
Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.
GFI Group (FRA:GDH1) Altman Z-Score Explanation
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.
GFI Group Altman Z-Score Related Terms
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GFI Group Inc was incorporated under the laws of the State of Delaware in 2001. The Company provides wholesale brokerage services, clearing services and electronic execution and trading support products for financial markets. It provide brokerage and trade execution services, clearing services, market data and trading platform and other software products to institutional customers in markets for a range of fixed income, financial, equity and commodity instruments. The Company provides execution services for its institutional wholesale customers by either matching their trading needs with counterparties having reciprocal interests or directing their orders to an exchange or other trading venue. The Company offers its customers a hybrid brokerage approach, combining a range of telephonic and electronic trade execution services, depending on the nature of the products and the specific needs of its customers. The Company operates in five business segments: Americas Brokerage; Europe, the Middle East and Africa Brokerage; Asia Brokerage, Clearing and Backed Trading and All Other. Its brokerage operations provide brokerage services in four product categories: fixed income, financial, equity and commodity. It's Clearing and Backed Trading segment encompasses its clearing, risk management, settlement and other back-office services, as well as the capital the Company provide to start-up trading groups, small hedge funds, market-makers and individual traders. The All Other segment captures revenues and costs that are not directly assignable to the brokerage or clearing and backed trading operating business segments, consisting of Company's corporate business activities and operations and commercial revenues from sales and licensing of trading systems software, analytic and market data. The Company offers products and services including Fixed Income Products, Financial Products, Equity Products, Commodity Products, Clearing and Settlement Services, and Software, Analytic and Market Data. The Company's competitors include ICAP Plc, Tullett Prebon Plc, CME, the Chicago Board Options Exchange, and Eurex and Euronext. The Company's businesses are subject to extensive regulation by government and self-regulatory organizations both in the United States and abroad.
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