The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
Axiall has a Altman Z-Score of 0.40, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for Axiall's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
Axiall Altman Z-Score Historical Data
The historical data trend for Axiall's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
For the Chemicals subindustry, Axiall's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Axiall's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Chemicals Industry
For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Axiall's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Axiall's Altman Z-Score falls into.
Axiall Altman Z-Score Calculation
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Axiall's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
1.2
*
X1
+
1.4
*
X2
+
3.3
*
X3
+
0.6
*
X4
+
1.0
*
X5
=
1.2
*
0.1084
+
1.4
*
-0.157
+
3.3
*
-0.213
+
0.6
*
0.8173
+
1.0
*
0.7061
=
0.40
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones
Axiall has a Altman Z-Score of 0.40 indicating it is in Distress Zones.
Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.
Axiall (FRA:HGQN) Altman Z-Score Explanation
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.
Axiall Altman Z-Score Related Terms
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Axiall Corp is a Delaware corporation incorporated in 1984. It is a manufacturer and marketer of chemicals and building products. It operates through three reportable segments: chlorovinyls; building products; and aromatics. Its Chlor-alkali and derivative products include Chlorine, Caustic soda, Vinyl chloride monomer, Vinyl resins, Other chlor-alkali and derivative products such as Chlorinated ethylene, Calcium hypochlorite, Hydrochloric acid, Phosgene derivatives, and also Compound products such as Vinyl compounds and Compound additives and plasticizers. Its Building products include Window and door profiles and mouldings products such as Window and door profiles, Trim, mouldings and deck, Outdoor building products such as Siding and exterior accessories, Pipe and pipe fittings. Its Aromatics products include Cumene such as Phenol and acetone. In its chlorovinyls segment, it produces chlorine and its co-product caustic soda by subjecting salt brine (sodium chloride) to an electric current creating a chemical reaction that results in chlorine gas, hydrogen gas and caustic soda (sodium hydroxide). It produces VCM by reacting purchased ethylene with chlorine. It produces vinyl resins by polymerization of VCM in a batch reactor process. It formulates its vinyl compounds to specific customer needs by blending its vinyl resins with various additives such as plasticizers, impact modifiers, stabilizers and pigments, most of which are purchased. It also has the capacity to produce EDC, an intermediate in the manufacture of VCM, for external sales. The significant raw materials it purchases from third parties include salt brine, ethylene, compound additives and natural gas. Its chlorovinyls segment faces competition from numerous manufacturers, including The Dow Chemical Company, Formosa Plastics Corporation, USA, Occidental Chemical Corporation, Olin Corporation, Shintech, Inc. and Westlake Chemical Corporation. In its Building Products Segment, the Company produces the majority of its building products through the extrusion of vinyl products. It also produces some pipe fittings through injection molding. These products are produced by heating vinyl compounds until they melt and then injecting them under pressure into a hollow mold to create three dimensional parts. The principal raw material it uses in the production of its building products is vinyl resin, which is blended with other compound additives to form vinyl compounds, which are then extruded or injection molded. The building products segment faces competition for each of its products from numerous manufacturers of vinyl products and traditional building materials. This segment's chief competitors include Ply Gem Holdings, Inc., VEKA Inc., CertainTeed Corporation, Vision Group, IPEX Inc., Associated Materials, Quanex, Deceuninck North America, CPG Azek and Bow Plastics. In its aromatics segment, it produces cumene through an alkylation reaction of benzene and refinery grade p
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