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Safeway (FRA:SWY) Altman Z-Score : 4.15 (As of May. 14, 2024)


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What is Safeway Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Safeway has a Altman Z-Score of 4.15, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Safeway's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:SWY' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.1   Med: 3.93   Max: 5.82
Current: 4.25

During the past 13 years, Safeway's highest Altman Z-Score was 5.82. The lowest was 3.10. And the median was 3.93.


Safeway Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Safeway's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Safeway Altman Z-Score Chart

Safeway Annual Data
Trend Dec04 Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.60 4.03 4.04 3.63 3.13

Safeway Quarterly Data
Dec09 Mar10 Jun10 Sep10 Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.71 3.13 3.61 4.00 4.24

Competitive Comparison of Safeway's Altman Z-Score

For the Grocery Stores subindustry, Safeway's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Safeway's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Safeway's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Safeway's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Safeway Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Safeway's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1283+1.4*0.3326+3.3*0.0256+0.6*1.1802+1.0*2.7395
=4.15

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2014:
Total Assets was €9,933 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €3,522 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €2,248 Mil.
Retained Earnings was €3,304 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -25.065 + 92.662 + -98.183 + 115.34 = €85 Mil.
Interest Expense was -34.92 + -38.198 + -37.018 + -59.422 = €-170 Mil.
Revenue was 6446.93 + 6114.099 + 5972.631 + 8678.97 = €27,213 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was €6,643 Mil.
Total Liabilities was €5,628 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(3522.342 - 2248.15)/9933.421
=0.1283

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=3303.82/9933.421
=0.3326

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(84.754 - -169.558)/9933.421
=0.0256

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=6642.780/5628.483
=1.1802

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=27212.63/9933.421
=2.7395

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Safeway has a Altman Z-Score of 4.15 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Safeway  (FRA:SWY) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Safeway Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Safeway (FRA:SWY) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Safeway Inc was incorporated in the state of Delaware in July 1986 as SSI Holdings Corporation and, thereafter, its name was changed to Safeway Stores, Incorporated. In February 1990, the Company changed its name to Safeway Inc. The Company is a food and drug retailers in the United States, with 1,335 stores at year-end 2013. The Company's U.S. retail operations are located principally in California, Hawaii, Oregon, Washington, Alaska, Colorado, Arizona, Texas and the Mid-Atlantic region. The Company also has a network of distribution, manufacturing and food-processing facilities. The Company retail business operates into seven geographic retail operating segments; Denver, Eastern, Northern California, Phoenix, Northwest, Texas and Southern California. In all geographical retail operating segments, it operates one store format, where each store offers the same general mix of products with similar pricing to similar categories of customers. The Company does not operate supercenters, warehouse formats, combination clothing/grocery stores or discount stores. It owns and operates GroceryWorks.com Operating Company, LLC ("GroceryWorks"), an online grocery channel doing business under the names Safeway.com and Vons.com. Safeway's stores provide grocery items tailored to local preferences. Its stores offer a selection of food and general merchandise and feature a variety of specialty departments such as bakery, delicatessen, floral and pharmacy. In addition, its stores offer Starbucks coffee shops and adjacent fuel centers. The Company also owns more than 300 other trademarks registered and/or pending in the United States Patent and Trademark Office and other jurisdictions, including trademarks for its product and services such as Safeway, Safeway SELECT, Rancher's Reserve, O Organics, Lucerne, Primo Taglio, Eating Right, mom to mom, waterfront BISTRO, Bright Green, Pantry Essentials, Open Nature, Refreshe, Snack Artist, Signature Café, Priority, just for U, My Simple Nutrition, Ingredients for Life, and other trademarks such as Pak'N Save Foods, Vons, Pavilions, Randalls, Tom Thumb, and Carrs Quality Centers. Blackhawk, a subsidiary of Safeway, provides third-party gift cards, prepaid cards, telecom cards and sports and entertainment cards to a group of top North American retailers for sale to retail customers. The competitive factors that affect the Company's business are location, quality, price, condition of assets, marketing and promotional strategies, service and consumer loyalty to other brands and stores. It faces intense competition from traditional grocery retailers, non-traditional competitors such as supercenters and club stores, as well as from specialty supermarkets, drug stores, dollar stores, convenience stores and restaurants. The Company's compliance with the federal, state, local and foreign laws and regulations have been adopted regulating the discharge of materials into the environment or otherwise related to the p

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