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AMS Public Transport Holdings (HKSE:00077) Altman Z-Score : 2.11 (As of May. 31, 2024)


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What is AMS Public Transport Holdings Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.1 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

AMS Public Transport Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 2.11, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that AMS Public Transport Holdings is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for AMS Public Transport Holdings's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00077' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.69   Med: 2.13   Max: 2.91
Current: 2.1

During the past 13 years, AMS Public Transport Holdings's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.91. The lowest was 0.69. And the median was 2.13.


AMS Public Transport Holdings Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for AMS Public Transport Holdings's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

AMS Public Transport Holdings Altman Z-Score Chart

AMS Public Transport Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.64 0.94 0.99 0.69 2.12

AMS Public Transport Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 0.69 - 2.12 -

Competitive Comparison of AMS Public Transport Holdings's Altman Z-Score

For the Railroads subindustry, AMS Public Transport Holdings's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AMS Public Transport Holdings's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, AMS Public Transport Holdings's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AMS Public Transport Holdings's Altman Z-Score falls into.



AMS Public Transport Holdings Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

AMS Public Transport Holdings's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.0328+1.4*-0.1575+3.3*0.1667+0.6*0.8193+1.0*1.3259
=2.11

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2023:
Total Assets was HK$282.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$75.3 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$84.6 Mil.
Retained Earnings was HK$-44.5 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was HK$41.7 Mil.
Interest Expense was HK$-5.4 Mil.
Revenue was HK$374.9 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was HK$168.6 Mil.
Total Liabilities was HK$205.8 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(75.297 - 84.581)/282.738
=-0.0328

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-44.53/282.738
=-0.1575

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(41.747 - -5.384)/282.738
=0.1667

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=168.586/205.771
=0.8193

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=374.896/282.738
=1.3259

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

AMS Public Transport Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 2.11 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


AMS Public Transport Holdings  (HKSE:00077) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


AMS Public Transport Holdings Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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AMS Public Transport Holdings (HKSE:00077) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
223 Aberdeen Main Road, 11th-12th Floor, Abba Commercial Building, Aberdeen, Hong Kong, HKG
AMS Public Transport Holdings Ltd is a Hong Kong-based investment holding company involved in the transport business. The company and its subsidiaries are principally engaged in the provision of the franchised public light bus (PLB) and residents' bus services. The primary revenue source for the company is the provision of franchised PLB transportation services. The operating segment of the Group is the franchised PLB and residents' bus services. The group operates in Hong Kong.
Executives
Wong Ling Sun, Vincent 2304 Executor or administrator
Ng Sui Chun 2202 Interest of your spouse
Wong Wai Man, Vivian 2101 Beneficial owner
Wong Wai Sum Maya 2101 Beneficial owner
Hsbc International Trustee Limited 2301 Trustee
Wong Man Kit 2202 Interest of your spouse

AMS Public Transport Holdings (HKSE:00077) Headlines

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