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China Resources Beer (Holdings) Co (HKSE:00291) Altman Z-Score : 2.85 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is China Resources Beer (Holdings) Co Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.85 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

China Resources Beer (Holdings) Co has a Altman Z-Score of 2.85, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that China Resources Beer (Holdings) Co is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Resources Beer (Holdings) Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00291' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.31   Med: 2.85   Max: 6.02
Current: 2.85

During the past 13 years, China Resources Beer (Holdings) Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 6.02. The lowest was 0.31. And the median was 2.85.


China Resources Beer (Holdings) Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for China Resources Beer (Holdings) Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

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China Resources Beer (Holdings) Co Altman Z-Score Chart

China Resources Beer (Holdings) Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.14 6.02 4.75 4.40 2.75

China Resources Beer (Holdings) Co Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.75 - 4.40 - 2.75

Competitive Comparison of China Resources Beer (Holdings) Co's Altman Z-Score

For the Beverages - Brewers subindustry, China Resources Beer (Holdings) Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Resources Beer (Holdings) Co's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, China Resources Beer (Holdings) Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Resources Beer (Holdings) Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.



China Resources Beer (Holdings) Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

China Resources Beer (Holdings) Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.101+1.4*0.2598+3.3*0.1015+0.6*2.8865+1.0*0.5443
=2.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was HK$78,231 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$18,748 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$26,649 Mil.
Retained Earnings was HK$20,327 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was HK$7,742 Mil.
Interest Expense was HK$-199 Mil.
Revenue was HK$42,583 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was HK$117,919 Mil.
Total Liabilities was HK$40,853 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(18748.464 - 26648.829)/78231.441
=-0.101

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=20326.787/78231.441
=0.2598

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(7741.767 - -199.068)/78231.441
=0.1015

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=117919.400/40852.641
=2.8865

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=42583/78231.441
=0.5443

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

China Resources Beer (Holdings) Co has a Altman Z-Score of 2.85 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


China Resources Beer (Holdings) Co  (HKSE:00291) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


China Resources Beer (Holdings) Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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China Resources Beer (Holdings) Co (HKSE:00291) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 26 Harbour Road, Room 2301 and 2310, 23rd Floor, China Resources Building, Wanchai, Hong Kong, HKG
China Resources Beer, or CR Beer, was originally a conglomerate enterprise with operations across retail, beer, food and beverage sectors. In September 2015, the company disposed of all its non-beer businesses and became a pure beer producer. Through a series of mergers and acquisitions, the company retains its leadership position in China's beer industry. Amid the premiumization trend in the domestic beer market, CR beer acquired Heineken China in 2019, which allows CR Beer access to a premium international brand and also leverages its sophisticated distribution network to grow Heineken's sales and market share. CR Beer is now China's largest brewer, with a volume share of about 24%, versus 18% of Tsingtao and 16% of Budweiser APAC, based on Euromonitor data.

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