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New Frontier Properties (JSE:NFP) Altman Z-Score : -0.98 (As of Jun. 17, 2024)


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What is New Frontier Properties Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

New Frontier Properties has a Altman Z-Score of -0.98, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for New Frontier Properties's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:


New Frontier Properties Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for New Frontier Properties's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

New Frontier Properties Altman Z-Score Chart

New Frontier Properties Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19
Altman Z-Score
- 0.09 0.43 -1.39 -3.21

New Frontier Properties Quarterly Data
May15 Nov15 Feb16 May16 Aug16 Nov16 Feb17 May17 Aug17 Nov17 Feb18 May18 Aug18 Nov18 Feb19 May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.01 -3.21 -2.36 -2.91 -0.79

Competitive Comparison of New Frontier Properties's Altman Z-Score

For the REIT - Retail subindustry, New Frontier Properties's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


New Frontier Properties's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, New Frontier Properties's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where New Frontier Properties's Altman Z-Score falls into.



New Frontier Properties Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

New Frontier Properties's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.3464+1.4*-1.2138+3.3*0.0557+0.6*1.3547+1.0*0.141
=-0.98

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in May. 2020:
Total Assets was R1,554.9 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R75.3 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R613.9 Mil.
Retained Earnings was R-1,887.4 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -18.564 + -28.823 + 168.711 + -127.133 = R-5.8 Mil.
Interest Expense was -29.076 + -26.526 + -42.916 + 6.085 = R-92.4 Mil.
Revenue was 37.978 + 45.638 + 71.883 + 63.742 = R219.2 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was R3,235.3 Mil.
Total Liabilities was R2,388.1 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(75.263 - 613.914)/1554.936
=-0.3464

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-1887.435/1554.936
=-1.2138

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-5.809 - -92.433)/1554.936
=0.0557

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=3235.263/2388.107
=1.3547

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=219.241/1554.936
=0.141

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

New Frontier Properties has a Altman Z-Score of -0.98 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


New Frontier Properties  (JSE:NFP) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


New Frontier Properties Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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New Frontier Properties (JSE:NFP) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
B45 Twenty Foot Road, 5th Floor, La Croisette, Grand Baie, MUS
New Frontier Properties Ltd operates as a UK real estate investment trust. The company's primary objective is to acquire and develop good quality, income-generating retail and logistics property in the UK and Europe. Its investment portfolio comprises UK shopping centers, Cleveland Centre in Middlesbrough, Coopers Square in Burton upon Trent, and Houndshill Shopping Centre in Blackpool.

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