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The Aarons Co (The Aarons Co) Altman Z-Score : 1.62 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is The Aarons Co Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.62 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

The Aarons Co has a Altman Z-Score of 1.62, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Aarons Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AAN' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.36   Med: 1.71   Max: 2.71
Current: 1.62

During the past 7 years, The Aarons Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.71. The lowest was 1.36. And the median was 1.71.


The Aarons Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Aarons Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Aarons Co Altman Z-Score Chart

The Aarons Co Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - 1.36 2.71 1.73 1.68

The Aarons Co Quarterly Data
Dec17 Dec18 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.73 1.77 1.83 1.77 1.68

Competitive Comparison of The Aarons Co's Altman Z-Score

For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, The Aarons Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Aarons Co's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, The Aarons Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Aarons Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.



The Aarons Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

The Aarons Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2113+1.4*0.0362+3.3*0.0079+0.6*0.1936+1.0*1.1715
=1.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $1,827 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $836 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $450 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $66 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -10.695 + -7.257 + 8.002 + 8.892 = $-1 Mil.
Interest Expense was -3.788 + -3.456 + -3.91 + -4.358 = $-16 Mil.
Revenue was 529.479 + 525.678 + 530.372 + 554.361 = $2,140 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $221 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $1,140 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(836.096 - 450.171)/1826.576
=0.2113

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=66.202/1826.576
=0.0362

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-1.058 - -15.512)/1826.576
=0.0079

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=220.809/1140.438
=0.1936

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=2139.89/1826.576
=1.1715

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

The Aarons Co has a Altman Z-Score of 1.62 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


The Aarons Co  (NYSE:AAN) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


The Aarons Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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The Aarons Co (The Aarons Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
400 Galleria Parkway SE, Suite 300, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30339-3182
The Aarons Co Inc is a specialty retailer which has developed a unique lease-to-own model. It serves the customers through the sale and lease ownership of furniture, consumer electronics, computers, home appliances, and other accessories at the best deal with the highest quality products. Aaron's services are available through multiple channels to approximately 40-50 % of the U.S. population. The Company conducts its operations through two primary operating business segments: Aaron's Business and BrandsMart.
Executives
Rachel G George officer: EVP, Gen Counsel/Corp Sec 400 GALLERIA PKWY SE, SUITE 300, ATLANTA GA 30339
Stephen W Olsen officer: President 400 GALLERIA PARKWAY SE, SUITE 300, ATLANTA GA 30339
Douglas A Lindsay director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 309 E. PACES FERRY ROAD, ATLANTA GA 30305
Wangdali Bacdayan director 400 GALLERIA PARKWAY SE, SUITE 300, ATLANTA GA 30339
Douglass L Noe officer: VP, Corporate Controller 400 GALLERIA PARKWAY SE, SUITE 300, ATLANTA GA 30339
Kristine Kay Malkoski director 6655 PEACHTREE DUNWOODY ROAD, ATLANTA GA 30328
Russell Falkenstein officer: EVP, COO, Lease-to-Own 400 GALLERIA PARKWAY SE, SUITE 300, ATLANTA GA 30339
John W Robinson director 309 E PACES FERRY RD, SUITE 1100, ATLANTA GA 30505
Harris Hubert L. Jr. director 309 E. PACES FERRY ROAD, ATLANTA GA 30305
Marvonia P Moore director 400 GALLERIA PARKWAY SE, SUITE 300, ATLANTA GA 30339
Kelly Hefner Barrett director 4630 WYNMEADE PARK, MARIETTA GA 30067
Timothy A Johnson director
Laura N Bailey director 400 GALLERIA PARKWAY SE, SUITE 300, ATLANTA GA 30339
Sinclair Robert P Jr officer: Corporate Controller and CAO 309 E. PACES FERRY RD N.E., ATLANTA GA 30305-2377
Aaron's Holdings Company, Inc. 10 percent owner 256 W. DATA DRIVE, DRAPER UT 84020