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First Potomac Realty Trust (First Potomac Realty Trust) Altman Z-Score : 0.27 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is First Potomac Realty Trust Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

First Potomac Realty Trust has a Altman Z-Score of 0.27, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for First Potomac Realty Trust's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:


First Potomac Realty Trust Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for First Potomac Realty Trust's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

First Potomac Realty Trust Altman Z-Score Chart

First Potomac Realty Trust Annual Data
Trend Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.12 0.35 0.25 0.17 0.02

First Potomac Realty Trust Quarterly Data
Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.16 -0.15 0.02 0.28 0.27

Competitive Comparison of First Potomac Realty Trust's Altman Z-Score

For the REIT - Office subindustry, First Potomac Realty Trust's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


First Potomac Realty Trust's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, First Potomac Realty Trust's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where First Potomac Realty Trust's Altman Z-Score falls into.



First Potomac Realty Trust Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

First Potomac Realty Trust's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.0459+1.4*-0.3727+3.3*0.0567+0.6*0.8937+1.0*0.1269
=0.27

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2017:
Total Assets was $1,200.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $70.8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $125.9 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-447.5 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -2.828 + 45.029 + -1.718 + 2.242 = $42.7 Mil.
Interest Expense was -6.053 + -6.344 + -6.572 + -6.414 = $-25.4 Mil.
Revenue was 35.388 + 37.823 + 38.973 + 40.172 = $152.4 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $654.4 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $732.2 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(70.762 - 125.86)/1200.494
=-0.0459

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-447.464/1200.494
=-0.3727

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(42.725 - -25.383)/1200.494
=0.0567

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=654.370/732.168
=0.8937

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=152.356/1200.494
=0.1269

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

First Potomac Realty Trust has a Altman Z-Score of 0.27 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


First Potomac Realty Trust  (NYSE:FPO) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


First Potomac Realty Trust Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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First Potomac Realty Trust (First Potomac Realty Trust) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
First Potomac Realty Trust is a real estate investment trust engaged in the ownership, management, and development of commercial properties in the greater Washington D.C. area. The company's real estate portfolio is primarily composed of a mix of single-tenant and multi-tenant office properties and business parks. These assets are fairly evenly distributed between the Washington D.C., Maryland, Northern Virginia, and Southern Virginia regions in terms of square footage. First Potomac derives the vast majority of its revenue in the form of rental income from tenants. Most of this revenue comes from its properties located in Maryland and Northern Virginia. The company's largest tenants are U.S. government entities and government contractors.
Executives
Andrew P Blocher officer: EVP, CFO 7600 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 11TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Thomas E Robinson other: Trustee 309 GARRISON FOREST ROAD, OWNINGS MILLS MD 21117
Terry L Stevens other: Trustee 3100 SMOKETREE COURT, SUITE 600, RALEIGH NC 27604
Michael H Comer officer: SVP, CAO FIRST POTOMAC REALTY TRUST, 7600 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 11TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Robert H Arnold other: Trustee 129 E.69TH ST., NEW YORK NY 10021
Robert Milkovich officer: President, CEO and COO 7600 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 11TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Samantha Sacks Gallagher officer: EVP and General Counsel C/O VICI PROPERTIES INC., 535 MADISON AVE 20TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10022
Kati M. Penney other: Trustee C/O FIRST POTOMAC REALTY TRUST, 7600 WISCONSIN AVE, 11TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
James P Hoffmann other: Trustee FIRST POTOMAC REALTY TRUST, 7600 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 11TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Alan G Merten other: Trustee 11020 POPES HEAD ROAD, FAIRFAX VA 22030
Richard B Chess other: Trustee 3821 DARBY DR, MIDLOTHIAN VA 23113
Douglas J Donatelli officer: CEO C/O FIRST POTOMAC REALTY TRUST, 7600 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 11TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Nicholas R Smith officer: EVP, CIO C/O FIRST POTOMAC REALTY TRUST, 7600 WISCONSIN AVE, 11TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
R Michael Mccullough other: Trustee 8270 GREENSBORO DR STE 950, MCLEAN VA 22102
Heller J Roderick Iii other: Trustee C/O FIRST POTOMAC REALTY TRUST, 7600 WISCONSIN AVENUE, 11TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814

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