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Griffon (Griffon) Altman Z-Score : 2.84 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Griffon Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.83 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Griffon has a Altman Z-Score of 2.84, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Griffon is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Griffon's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

GFF' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.71   Med: 2.06   Max: 2.83
Current: 2.83

During the past 13 years, Griffon's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.83. The lowest was 1.71. And the median was 2.06.


Griffon Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Griffon's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Griffon Altman Z-Score Chart

Griffon Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.15 2.07 2.30 1.73 2.48

Griffon Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.97 1.74 1.76 2.48 2.77

Competitive Comparison of Griffon's Altman Z-Score

For the Conglomerates subindustry, Griffon's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Griffon's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Griffon's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Griffon's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Griffon Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Griffon's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2386+1.4*0.132+3.3*0.0872+0.6*1.6012+1.0*1.1193
=2.84

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $2,393 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $963 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $392 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $316 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 60.142 + 56.368 + 78.453 + -90.159 = $105 Mil.
Interest Expense was -27.187 + -26.277 + -25.641 + -24.879 = $-104 Mil.
Revenue was 643.153 + 641.385 + 683.43 + 710.984 = $2,679 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $3,376 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $2,108 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(962.606 - 391.679)/2393.313
=0.2386

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=315.868/2393.313
=0.132

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(104.804 - -103.984)/2393.313
=0.0872

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=3375.693/2108.291
=1.6012

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=2678.952/2393.313
=1.1193

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Griffon has a Altman Z-Score of 2.84 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Griffon  (NYSE:GFF) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Griffon Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Griffon (Griffon) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
712 Fifth Avenue, 18th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10019
Griffon Corp manufactures and markets residential, commercial and industrial garage doors to professional installing dealers and home center retail chains. It also provides non-powered landscaping products for homeowners and professionals. Its operating segments include Consumer and Professional Products and Home and Building Products. The company generates a majority of its revenue from the Home and Building Products segment.
Executives
Voss Value-oriented Special Situations Fund, Lp director 3773 RICHMOND AVENUE, SUITE 500, HOUSTON TX 77046
Voss Value Master Fund, L.p. director 3773 RICHMOND AVENUE, SUITE 500, HOUSTON TX 77046
Voss Value Master Fund, Lp director, other: See Remarks 3773 RICHMOND AVENUE, SUITE 500, HOUSTON TX 77046
Travis W. Cocke director, other: See Remarks 3773 RICHMOND AVENUE, SUITE 500, HOUSTON TX 77046
Voss Advisors Gp, Llc director 3773 RICHMOND AVENUE, SUITE 500, HOUSTON TX 77046
Voss Capital, Llc director 3773 RICHMOND AVENUE, SUITE 500, HOUSTON TX 77046
Michelle L Taylor director 712 FIFTH AVENUE, C/O GRIFFON CORPORATION, NEW YORK NY 10019
Diao H.c. Charles director 1775 TYSONS BOULEVARD, TYSONS VA 22102
Lacy M. Johnson director 200 EAST RANDOLPH STREET, SUITE 3300, CHICAGO IL 60601
Louis J. Grabowsky director 6605 ABERDEEN, DALLAS TX 75230
Henry A Alpert director
Kevin F Sullivan director C/O GRIFFON CORPORATION, 712 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10019
Jerome L Coben director 5482 WILSHIRE BLVD., #1579, LOS ANGELES CA 90036
Thomas Brosig director C/O GIII APPAREL GROUP LTD, 512 SEVENTH AVE, NEW YORK NY 10018
Seth L. Kaplan officer: Sr VP, Gen. Counsel and Secy 712 FIFTH AVENUE, 18TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019