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NeoPhotonics (NeoPhotonics) Altman Z-Score : 2.64 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is NeoPhotonics Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.64 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

NeoPhotonics has a Altman Z-Score of 2.64, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that NeoPhotonics is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for NeoPhotonics's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NPTN' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.69   Med: 0.92   Max: 3.17
Current: 2.64

During the past 13 years, NeoPhotonics's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.17. The lowest was -0.69. And the median was 0.92.


NeoPhotonics Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for NeoPhotonics's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

NeoPhotonics Altman Z-Score Chart

NeoPhotonics Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.25 0.34 1.04 1.78 2.13

NeoPhotonics Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.40 0.76 2.13 2.05 2.59

Competitive Comparison of NeoPhotonics's Altman Z-Score

For the Semiconductors subindustry, NeoPhotonics's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NeoPhotonics's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Semiconductors Industry

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, NeoPhotonics's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NeoPhotonics's Altman Z-Score falls into.



NeoPhotonics Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

NeoPhotonics's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.4786+1.4*-1.3891+3.3*-0.0038+0.6*4.9321+1.0*1.0676
=2.64

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2022:
Total Assets was $326.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $257.7 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $101.5 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-453.6 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 11.826 + -2.731 + -10.306 + -1.404 = $-2.6 Mil.
Interest Expense was -0.51 + -0.355 + -0.315 + -0.207 = $-1.4 Mil.
Revenue was 95.006 + 89.268 + 80.612 + 83.742 = $348.6 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $859.6 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $174.3 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(257.734 - 101.461)/326.554
=0.4786

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-453.631/326.554
=-1.3891

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-2.615 - -1.387)/326.554
=-0.0038

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=859.559/174.28
=4.9321

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=348.628/326.554
=1.0676

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

NeoPhotonics has a Altman Z-Score of 2.64 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


NeoPhotonics  (NYSE:NPTN) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


NeoPhotonics Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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NeoPhotonics (NeoPhotonics) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3081 Zanker Road, San Jose, CA, USA, 95134
NeoPhotonics Corp develops, manufactures, and sells products that transmit, receive, and switch high speed digital optical signals for communications networks. NeoPhotonics' products are offered under segments High Speed Products and Network Products and Solutions. Traditionally, products from the High Speed Products segment have been used at high data rates for telecom, datacenter, or content provider networks and applications. Alongside these products, the company offers products for lower data rates in addition to passive optical products that do not have a specific data rate. Products manufactured and developed by NeoPhotonics include transmitter products, receiver products, and switch products. The company sells its slate of products globally.
Executives
Bradford W. Wright officer: SVP Global Sales C/O NEOPHOTONICS CORPORATION 3081 ZANKER ROAD SAN JOSE CA 95134
Yanbing Li director 2911 ZANKER ROAD SAN JOSE CA 95134
Rajiv Ramaswami director 5300 CALIFORNIA AVENUE, IRVINE CA 92617
Charles J Abbe director 2445 WESTSIDE ROAD HEALDSBURG CA 95448
Elizabeth Lynne Eby officer: SVP, CFO 1414 HARBOUR WAY SOUTH, SUITE 1901, RICHMOND CA 94804
Kimberly Chainey director 265 EXCHANGE DRIVE, SUITE 100, CRYSTAL LAKE IL 60014
Sheri Brumm director C/O ULTRA CLEAN HOLDINGS, INC., 26462 CORPORATE AVENUE, HAYWARD CA 94545
Timothy Storrs Jenks director, officer: President, CEO and Chairman 2911 ZANKER ROAD SAN JOSE CA 95134
Bandel L Carano director, 10 percent owner 525 UNIVERSITY AVENUE, SUITE 1300, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Yuen Wupen officer: VP, Product Dev.& Engineering 2911 ZANKER ROAD, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Michael J Sophie director C/O UTSTARCOM INC., 1275 HARBOR BAY PARKWAY, ALAMEDA CA 94502
Chiyue Cheung officer: VP and COO 12TH SOUTH KEJI ROAD SOUTH HI-TECH INDUSTRY PARK SHENZHEN F4 518057
Yang Chiah Yee officer: Senior VP, Global Sales 2911 ZANKER ROAD, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Benjamin Lee Sitler officer: VP, Global Sales 2911 ZANKER ROAD SAN JOSE CA 95134
Usnano 10 percent owner 10A 60-LETIYA OKTYABRYA PROSPECT, MOSCOW 1Z 117036

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