The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
Elizabeth Arden has a Altman Z-Score of 1.19, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for Elizabeth Arden's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
Elizabeth Arden Altman Z-Score Historical Data
The historical data trend for Elizabeth Arden's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Competitive Comparison of Elizabeth Arden's Altman Z-Score
For the Household & Personal Products subindustry, Elizabeth Arden's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Elizabeth Arden's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry
For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Elizabeth Arden's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Elizabeth Arden's Altman Z-Score falls into.
Elizabeth Arden Altman Z-Score Calculation
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Elizabeth Arden's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
1.2
*
X1
+
1.4
*
X2
+
3.3
*
X3
+
0.6
*
X4
+
1.0
*
X5
=
1.2
*
0.1985
+
1.4
*
-0.2606
+
3.3
*
-0.07
+
0.6
*
0.5692
+
1.0
*
1.2091
=
1.19
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones
Elizabeth Arden has a Altman Z-Score of 1.19 indicating it is in Distress Zones.
Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.
Elizabeth Arden (NAS:RDEN) Altman Z-Score Explanation
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.
Elizabeth Arden Altman Z-Score Related Terms
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Elizabeth Arden (Elizabeth Arden) Business Description
Elizabeth Arden Inc is incorporated on June 26, 1992 in the state of Florida. The Company is a beauty products company with a portfolio of prestige fragrance, skin care and cosmetics brands. The Company's portfolio includes Elizabeth Arden Brand, Celebrity Fragrances, Heritage Fragrances and Designer Fragrances. In addition to its owned or licensed fragrance brands, the Company distributes additional prestige fragrance brands, in the United States through distribution and other purchasing agreements. It sells its prestige beauty products to retailers in the United States and internationally, including; U.S. prestige retailers and specialty stores such as Macy's, Dillard's, Ulta, Belk, Sephora, Bloomingdales and Nordstrom; U.S. mass retailers, including mid-tier and chain drug retailers, such as Wal-Mart, Target, Kohl's, Walgreens, CVS, and TJ Maxx and Marshalls; and International retailers such as Boots, Debenhams, Superdrug Stores, The Perfume Shop, Hudson's Bay, Shoppers Drug Mart, Myer, Douglas and various travel retail outlets such as Nuance, Heinemann and World Duty Free. The Company and its products are subject to regulation by the Food and Drug Administration, the Federal Trade Commission and state regulatory authorities in the United States, as well as by various other federal, local and international regulatory authorities in the countries in which its products are produced or sold.
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