Economic Calendar - 28 Nov 2010

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Nov 27, 2010
Here's the Economic Calendar for the week commencing the 28th of November 2010. This week December starts! So the PMI data will start flowing with releases expected from China, Japan, the US, and the EU, among others. There's also some more GDP data out this week with Australia, Canada, and Switzerland announcing their Q3 results. In the US there's the S&P/Case-Shiller house price index, consumer confidence, nonfarm payrolls, and the Beige Book from the Fed.

(More commentary follows the table)

DayGMTCountry/

Currency
EventForecastPrevious
SUN21:45NZDTrade Balance [New Zealand dollars] [OCT]-400M-532M
SUN21:45NZDExports [New Zealand dollars] [OCT]3.31B3.16B
SUN21:45NZDImports [New Zealand dollars] [OCT]3.78B3.69B
SUN23:50JPYRetail Trade [YoY] [OCT]0.70%1.40%
SUN02:00NZDNBNZ Business Confidence [NOV]

23.70
MON10:00EUREuro-Zone Business Climate Indicator [NOV]1.050.98
MON10:00EUREuro-Zone Consumer Confidence [NOV F]-10.00-10.00
MON10:00EUREuro-Zone Economic Confidence [NOV]105.00104.10
MON10:00EUREuro-Zone Industrial Confidence [NOV]2.000.00
MON10:00EUREuro-Zone Services Confidence [NOV]9.008.00
MON13:30CADCurrent Account [BoP] [Canadian dollar] [3Q]-$15.2B-$11.0B
MON23:30JPYJobless Rate [OCT]5.00%5.00%
MON23:50JPYIndustrial Production [MoM] [OCT P]-3.20%-1.60%
MON23:50JPYIndustrial Production [YoY] [OCT P]3.10%11.50%
MON00:30AUDCurrent Account Balance [Australian Dollar] [3Q]-6600M-5640M
TUE05:00JPYHousing Starts [YoY] [OCT]9.70%17.70%
TUE05:00JPYAnnualized Housing Starts [OCT]0.840M0.837M
TUE05:00JPYNomura/JMMA Manufacturing PMI [NOV]

47.20
TUE08:55EURGerman Unemployment Change [NOV]-20K-3K
TUE10:00EUREuro-Zone CPI Estimate [YoY] [NOV]1.90%1.90%
TUE10:00EUREuro-Zone Unemployment Rate [OCT]10.10%10.10%
TUE11:00EURItalian Unemployment Rate s.a. [OCT]8.40%8.30%
TUE13:30CADGross Domestic Product [MoM] [SEP] [SEP]0.10%0.30%
TUE13:30CADQuarterly GDP Annualized [3Q]1.50%2.00%
TUE14:00USDS&P/Case-Shiller Composite-20 [YoY] [SEP]1.00%1.70%
TUE14:00USDS&P/Case-Shiller US Home Price Index [YoY]

3.60%
TUE14:00USDS&P/Case-Shiller 20 City [MoM] s.a. [SEP]-0.40%-0.28%
TUE15:00USDConsumer Confidence [NOV]52.7050.20
TUE00:30AUDGross Domestic Product [QoQ] [3Q]0.50%1.20%
TUE00:30AUDGross Domestic Product [YoY] [3Q]3.40%3.30%
TUE01:00CNYPMI Manufacturing [NOV]54.8054.70
TUE02:00NZDANZ Commodity Price [NOV]

2.90%
TUE02:30CNYHSBC Manufacturing PMI [NOV]55.4054.80
WED07:00GBPNationwide House Prices n.s.a. [YoY] [NOV]

1.40%
WED07:00GBPNationwide House Prices s.a. [MoM] [NOV]-0.40%-0.70%
WED08:45EURItalian PMI Manufacturing [NOV]53.1053.00
WED08:50EURFrench PMI Manufacturing [NOV F]57.5057.50
WED08:55EURGerman PMI Manufacturing [NOV F]58.9058.90
WED09:00EUREuro-Zone PMI Manufacturing [NOV F]55.5055.50
WED09:30GBPPurchasing Manager Index Manufacturing [NOV]54.7054.90
WED13:30USDNon-Farm Productivity [3Q] F2.30%1.90%
WED13:30USDUnit Labor Costs [3Q F] [3Q] F-0.20%-0.10%
WED15:00USDISM Manufacturing [NOV]56.5056.90
WED15:00USDConstruction Spending [MoM] [OCT]-0.40%0.50%
WED19:00USDFed's Beige Book [DEC]



WED00:30AUDTrade Balance [Australian dollar] [OCT]2000M1760M
WED00:30AUDRetail Sales s.a. [MoM] [OCT]0.40%0.30%
THU06:45CHFGross Domestic Product [YoY] [3Q]3.10%3.40%
THU06:45CHFGross Domestic Product [QoQ] [3Q]0.50%0.90%
THU08:15CHFRetail Sales [Real] [YoY] [OCT]

4.10%
THU09:30GBPPurchasing Manager Index Construction [NOV]51.3051.60
THU10:00EUREuro-Zone Gross Domestic Product [QoQ] [3Q]0.40%0.40%
THU10:00EUREuro-Zone Gross Domestic Product [YoY] [3Q]1.90%1.90%
THU10:00EUREuro-Zone Producer Price Index [MoM] [OCT]0.30%0.30%
THU10:00EUREuro-Zone Producer Price Index [YoY] [OCT]4.30%4.20%
THU12:45EUREuropean Central Bank Rate Decision [DEC]1.00%1.00%
THU15:00USDPending Home Sales [MoM] [OCT]-1.00%-1.80%
THU15:00USDPending Home Sales [YoY] [OCT]

-24.90%
THU01:00CNYChina Non-manufacturing PMI [NOV]

60.50
THU02:30CNYChina HSBC Services PMI [NOV]

56.40
FRI05:00EURGerman Retail Sales [MoM] [OCT]1.20%-1.70%
FRI05:00EURGerman Retail Sales [YoY] [OCT]1.30%0.40%
FRI08:15CHFConsumer Price Index [MoM] [NOV]0.10%0.50%
FRI08:15CHFConsumer Price Index [YoY] [NOV]0.10%0.20%
FRI09:00EUREuro-Zone PMI Composite [NOV F]55.4055.40
FRI09:00EUREuro-Zone PMI Services [NOV F]55.2055.20
FRI10:00EUREuro-Zone Retail Sales [MoM] [OCT]0.20%-0.20%
FRI10:00EUREuro-Zone Retail Sales [YoY] [OCT]1.00%1.30%
FRI12:00CADNet Change in Employment [NOV]20.0K3.0K
FRI12:00CADUnemployment Rate [NOV]7.90%7.90%
FRI13:30USDChange in Private Payrolls [NOV]153K159K
FRI13:30USDChange in Non-farm Payrolls [NOV]142K151K
FRI13:30USDUnemployment Rate [NOV]9.60%9.60%
FRI15:00USDISM Non-Manufacutring Composite [NOV]54.7054.30
FRI15:00USDFactory Orders [OCT]-1.00%2.10%
As noted it will be a big week for PMI (Purchasing Manager's Index) data releases. As can be seen in the table, results are due from the US, China, Japan, and throughout the EU. The results will provide a timely update, especially for the China and US results. I will be watching these two in particular very closely and will put out updates throughout the week. Consensus forecasts are picking a bit of an increase in China, and flat in the US, watch this space.

Australia will announce its 3rd quarter GDP result on Tuesday, with consensus picking slightly slower quarterly growth, and stronger year on year growth. Canada will also provide an update on its GDP results as will Switzerland and the wider EU. The EU is not expected to make an large revisions to its Q3 GDP results, but it will be worth a look, particularly on a country-by-country basis.

On the monetary policy front the European Central Bank meets on Thursday, and as usual the rate likely wont be moving, but it will be interesting to see what the ECB says given the rumblings in the EU sovereigns markets. As noted, the US Fed also releases the Beige book economic report this week, which will be interesting in light of the Fed's recent launch of QEII. Elsewhere in the world, Pakistan reviews rates on Monday, Thailand on Wednesday, and Indonesia on Friday; expecting only changes from Pakistan.

Apart from PMI, GDP, and monetary policy, some of the other interest data points out this week include: Japan industrial production (expected to slow), EU CPI and unemployment rate (expect little change), S&P Case-Shiller house price index (expect a monthly decline in Sep), US consumer confidence (expect an improvement), and of course US employment data for November with nonfarm payrolls expected to expand by a similar amount as October, and no change to the unemployment rate.

So as always, have a great week, watch out for surprises, and stay tuned for updates...



Sources

DailyFX www.dailyfx.com/calendar

Forex Pros www.forexpros.com/economic-calendar/

Forex Factory www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php

Bloomberg www.bloomberg.com

+various statistics websites and central bank websites for verification



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