Baxter offers long term value with a margin of safety

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Jan 27, 2011
I believe BAX, at approximately $49/share offers value with a margin of safety on a cash flow valuation basis.


Baxter International focuses on delivering injectable therapies for a wide variety of medical conditions. The firm's BioScience segment specializes in developing treatments for disorders such as hemophilia and immune deficiencies. It also provides a variety of medication delivery systems including intravenous bags, solutions, and other devices to control fluid inflow, including dialysis equipment and solutions for patients with kidney failure. (Source: Morningstar.com)


Baxter Reports Sales and EPS for Fourth Quarter 2010 in Line with Guidance


I estimated the firm's WACC at 7.69% using the Capital Asset Pricing Model and the company's recent SEC filings. ValuePro has a baseline WACC calculator here and it calculates the firm's WACC at 6.83%. I'll go with the higher mark, 7.69%.


Recent free cash flows and noted growth rates:


YearFCF $Millions
2000566
2001362
2002345
2003636
2004822
20051106
20061657
20071613
20081561
20091895
20102040



Average Annual Growth: approx 18%


CAGR: approx. 14%


Consensus Forecast Industry 5-Year Growth: approx. 16% per year


Consensus Forecast Company 5-Year Growth: approx. 10% per year