The stock of J2 Global (NAS:JCOM, 30-year Financials) gives every indication of being fairly valued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $117.59 per share and the market cap of $5.3 billion, J2 Global stock is believed to be fairly valued. GF Value for J2 Global is shown in the chart below.
Because J2 Global is fairly valued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be close to the rate of its business growth, which averaged 11.2% over the past three years and is estimated to grow 7.55% annually over the next three to five years.
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Companies with poor financial strength offer investors a high risk of permanent capital loss. To avoid permanent capital loss, an investor must do their research and review a company's financial strength before deciding to purchase shares. Both the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage of a company are a great way to to understand its financial strength. J2 Global has a cash-to-debt ratio of 0.14, which which ranks in the bottom 10% of the companies in Software industry. The overall financial strength of J2 Global is 4 out of 10, which indicates that the financial strength of J2 Global is poor. This is the debt and cash of J2 Global over the past years:
Companies that have been consistently profitable over the long term offer less risk for investors who may want to purchase shares. Higher profit margins usually dictate a better investment compared to a company with lower profit margins. J2 Global has been profitable 10 over the past 10 years. Over the past twelve months, the company had a revenue of $1.5 billion and earnings of $3.25 a share. Its operating margin is 22.46%, which ranks better than 90% of the companies in Software industry. Overall, the profitability of J2 Global is ranked 9 out of 10, which indicates strong profitability. This is the revenue and net income of J2 Global over the past years:
Growth is probably the most important factor in the valuation of a company. GuruFocus research has found that growth is closely correlated with the long term stock performance of a company. A faster growing company creates more value for shareholders, especially if the growth is profitable. The 3-year average annual revenue growth of J2 Global is 11.2%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Software industry. The 3-year average EBITDA growth rate is 12.4%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Software industry.
Another way to look at the profitability of a company is to compare its return on invested capital and the weighted cost of capital. Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. We want to have the return on invested capital higher than the weighted cost of capital. For the past 12 months, J2 Global's return on invested capital is 7.40, and its cost of capital is 7.98. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of J2 Global is shown below:
In short, the stock of J2 Global (NAS:JCOM, 30-year Financials) is believed to be fairly valued. The company's financial condition is poor and its profitability is strong. Its growth ranks in the middle range of the companies in Software industry. To learn more about J2 Global stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.
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