Atomera Stock Appears To Be Significantly Overvalued

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GF Value
Apr 11, 2021
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The stock of Atomera (NAS:ATOM, 30-year Financials) appears to be significantly overvalued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $23.72 per share and the market cap of $547.3 million, Atomera stock is estimated to be significantly overvalued. GF Value for Atomera is shown in the chart below.

Atomera GF Value Chart

Because Atomera is significantly overvalued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be much lower than its future business growth.

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Companies with poor financial strength offer investors a high risk of permanent capital loss. To avoid permanent capital loss, an investor must do their research and review a company's financial strength before deciding to purchase shares. Both the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage of a company are a great way to to understand its financial strength. Atomera has a cash-to-debt ratio of 54.83, which which ranks better than 86% of the companies in Semiconductors industry. The overall financial strength of Atomera is 4 out of 10, which indicates that the financial strength of Atomera is poor. This is the debt and cash of Atomera over the past years:

debt and cash

Investing in profitable companies carries less risk, especially in companies that have demonstrated consistent profitability over the long term. Typically, a company with high profit margins offers better performance potential than a company with low profit margins. Atomera has been profitable 0 years over the past 10 years. During the past 12 months, the company had revenues of $0.1 million and loss of $0.81 a share. Its operating margin of -7460.00% in the bottom 10% of the companies in Semiconductors industry. Overall, GuruFocus ranks Atomera's profitability as poor. This is the revenue and net income of Atomera over the past years:

Revnue and Net Income

One of the most important factors in the valuation of a company is growth. Long-term stock performance is closely correlated with growth according to GuruFocus research. Companies that grow faster create more value for shareholders, especially if that growth is profitable. The average annual revenue growth of Atomera is -30.7%, which ranks in the bottom 10% of the companies in Semiconductors industry. The 3-year average EBITDA growth is 11.1%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Semiconductors industry.

Another method of determining the profitability of a company is to compare its return on invested capital to the weighted average cost of capital. Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. When the ROIC is higher than the WACC, it implies the company is creating value for shareholders. For the past 12 months, Atomera's return on invested capital is -1601.89, and its cost of capital is 12.13. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of Atomera is shown below:

ROIC vs WACC

Overall, the stock of Atomera (NAS:ATOM, 30-year Financials) is estimated to be significantly overvalued. The company's financial condition is poor and its profitability is poor. Its growth ranks in the middle range of the companies in Semiconductors industry. To learn more about Atomera stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.

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