The stock of Tecnoglass (NAS:TGLS, 30-year Financials) is estimated to be significantly overvalued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $12.24 per share and the market cap of $583.5 million, Tecnoglass stock is estimated to be significantly overvalued. GF Value for Tecnoglass is shown in the chart below.
Because Tecnoglass is significantly overvalued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be much lower than its future business growth.
Investing in companies with poor financial strength has a higher risk of permanent loss of capital. Thus, it is important to carefully review the financial strength of a company before deciding whether to buy its stock. Looking at the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage is a great starting point for understanding the financial strength of a company. Tecnoglass has a cash-to-debt ratio of 0.31, which is worse than 69% of the companies in Construction industry. GuruFocus ranks the overall financial strength of Tecnoglass at 5 out of 10, which indicates that the financial strength of Tecnoglass is fair. This is the debt and cash of Tecnoglass over the past years:
Investing in profitable companies carries less risk, especially in companies that have demonstrated consistent profitability over the long term. Typically, a company with high profit margins offers better performance potential than a company with low profit margins. Tecnoglass has been profitable 6 years over the past 10 years. During the past 12 months, the company had revenues of $374.9 million and earnings of $0.531 a share. Its operating margin of 17.91% better than 90% of the companies in Construction industry. Overall, GuruFocus ranks Tecnoglass's profitability as fair. This is the revenue and net income of Tecnoglass over the past years:
One of the most important factors in the valuation of a company is growth. Long-term stock performance is closely correlated with growth according to GuruFocus research. Companies that grow faster create more value for shareholders, especially if that growth is profitable. The average annual revenue growth of Tecnoglass is -1.3%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Construction industry. The 3-year average EBITDA growth is 6.9%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Construction industry.
Another way to evaluate a company's profitability is to compare its return on invested capital (ROIC) to its weighted cost of capital (WACC). Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. If the ROIC is higher than the WACC, it indicates that the company is creating value for shareholders. Over the past 12 months, Tecnoglass's ROIC was 10.80, while its WACC came in at 13.81. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of Tecnoglass is shown below:
In summary, The stock of Tecnoglass (NAS:TGLS, 30-year Financials) gives every indication of being significantly overvalued. The company's financial condition is fair and its profitability is fair. Its growth ranks in the middle range of the companies in Construction industry. To learn more about Tecnoglass stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.
To find out the high quality companies that may deliever above average returns, please check out GuruFocus High Quality Low Capex Screener.