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CKX Lands Stock Gives Every Indication Of Being Significantly Overvalued

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May 11, 2021
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The stock of CKX Lands (AMEX:CKX, 30-year Financials) is estimated to be significantly overvalued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $13.0571 per share and the market cap of $25.4 million, CKX Lands stock gives every indication of being significantly overvalued. GF Value for CKX Lands is shown in the chart below.

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Because CKX Lands is significantly overvalued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be much lower than its future business growth.

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It is always important to check the financial strength of a company before buying its stock. Investing in companies with poor financial strength have a higher risk of permanent loss. Looking at the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage is a great way to understand the financial strength of a company. CKX Lands has a cash-to-debt ratio of 10000.00, which is better than 100% of the companies in Oil & Gas industry. The overall financial strength of CKX Lands is 10 out of 10, which indicates that the financial strength of CKX Lands is strong. This is the debt and cash of CKX Lands over the past years:

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It is less risky to invest in profitable companies, especially those with consistent profitability over long term. A company with high profit margins is usually a safer investment than those with low profit margins. CKX Lands has been profitable 10 over the past 10 years. Over the past twelve months, the company had a revenue of $0.7 million and earnings of $0.17 a share. Its operating margin is 3.57%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Oil & Gas industry. Overall, the profitability of CKX Lands is ranked 6 out of 10, which indicates fair profitability. This is the revenue and net income of CKX Lands over the past years:

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Growth is probably one of the most important factors in the valuation of a company. GuruFocus' research has found that growth is closely correlated with the long-term performance of a company's stock. If a company's business is growing, the company usually creates value for its shareholders, especially if the growth is profitable. Likewise, if a company's revenue and earnings are declining, the value of the company will decrease. CKX Lands's 3-year average revenue growth rate is worse than 76% of the companies in Oil & Gas industry. CKX Lands's 3-year average EBITDA growth rate is -62.7%, which ranks in the bottom 10% of the companies in Oil & Gas industry.

Another way to evaluate a company's profitability is to compare its return on invested capital (ROIC) to its weighted cost of capital (WACC). Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. If the ROIC is higher than the WACC, it indicates that the company is creating value for shareholders. Over the past 12 months, CKX Lands's ROIC was 0.20, while its WACC came in at 2.80. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of CKX Lands is shown below:

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In conclusion, the stock of CKX Lands (AMEX:CKX, 30-year Financials) is believed to be significantly overvalued. The company's financial condition is strong and its profitability is fair. Its growth ranks in the bottom 10% of the companies in Oil & Gas industry. To learn more about CKX Lands stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.

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