Delving into the Dividend Dynamics of American Express Co (AXP)

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An In-depth Analysis of the Dividend Performance and Sustainability of American Express Co

American Express Co (AXP, Financial) recently announced a dividend of $0.6 per share, payable on 2023-11-10, with the ex-dividend date set for 2023-10-05. As investors look forward to this upcoming payment, the spotlight also shines on the company's dividend history, yield, and growth rates. Using the data from GuruFocus, let's deep dive into American Express Co's dividend performance and assess its sustainability.

What Does American Express Co Do?

American Express is a global financial institution, operating in about 130 countries, that provides consumers and businesses charge and credit card payment products. The company also operates a highly profitable merchant payment network. Since 2018, it has operated in three segments: global consumer services, global commercial services, and global merchant and network services. In addition to payment products, the company's commercial business offers expense management tools, consulting services, and business loans.

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A Glimpse at American Express Co's Dividend History

American Express Co has maintained a consistent dividend payment record since 1985. Dividends are currently distributed on a quarterly basis. Below is a chart showing annual Dividends Per Share for tracking historical trends.

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Breaking Down American Express Co's Dividend Yield and Growth

As of today, American Express Co currently has a 12-month trailing dividend yield of 1.53% and a 12-month forward dividend yield of 1.64%. This suggests an expectation of increased dividend payments over the next 12 months.

Over the past three years, American Express Co's annual dividend growth rate was 8.20%. Extended to a five-year horizon, this rate decreased to 8.00% per year. And over the past decade, American Express Co's annual dividends per share growth rate stands at 10.00%.

Based on American Express Co's dividend yield and five-year growth rate, the 5-year yield on cost of American Express Co stock as of today is approximately 2.25%.

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The Sustainability Question: Payout Ratio and Profitability

To assess the sustainability of the dividend, one needs to evaluate the company's payout ratio. The dividend payout ratio provides insights into the portion of earnings the company distributes as dividends. A lower ratio suggests that the company retains a significant part of its earnings, thereby ensuring the availability of funds for future growth and unexpected downturns. As of 2023-06-30, American Express Co's dividend payout ratio is 0.23.

American Express Co's profitability rank, offers an understanding of the company's earnings prowess relative to its peers. GuruFocus ranks American Express Co's profitability 7 out of 10 as of 2023-06-30, suggesting good profitability prospects. The company has reported positive net income for each of year over the past decade, further solidifying its high profitability.

Growth Metrics: The Future Outlook

To ensure the sustainability of dividends, a company must have robust growth metrics. American Express Co's growth rank of 7 out of 10 suggests that the company's growth trajectory is good relative to its competitors.

Revenue is the lifeblood of any company, and American Express Co's revenue per share, combined with the 3-year revenue growth rate, indicates a strong revenue model. American Express Co's revenue has increased by approximately 10.00% per year on average, a rate that outperforms approximately 63.01% of global competitors.

The company's 3-year EPS growth rate showcases its capability to grow its earnings, a critical component for sustaining dividends in the long run. During the past three years, American Express Co's earnings increased by approximately 7.20% per year on average, a rate that outperforms approximately 46.87% of global competitors.

Lastly, the company's 5-year EBITDA growth rate of 18.40%, outperforms approximately 71.32% of global competitors.

Next Steps

In conclusion, American Express Co's consistent dividend payments, solid growth rate, low payout ratio, high profitability, and robust growth metrics make it an attractive option for investors seeking steady income. The company's strong financial performance and promising growth prospects suggest a sustainable dividend in the foreseeable future. However, as with any investment, it's crucial to conduct thorough research and consider the company's overall financial health before making a decision.

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Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.