Appian Corp's Stock Performance: A Deep Dive into Recent Valuation Changes

Appian Corp (APPN, Financial), a prominent player in the software industry, has experienced a notable shift in its stock price over recent periods. With a current market capitalization of $3.03 billion, the company's stock is trading at $41.3. Over the past week, Appian's stock has seen a 5.29% gain, which contrasts with a 14.76% loss over the past three months. This volatility in stock price is of particular interest to investors, especially when considering the company's valuation metrics. According to GuruFocus's GF Value, which stands at $64.13, Appian is currently significantly undervalued. This is a shift from three months ago when the stock was considered a possible value trap, with a past GF Value of $71.9, suggesting investors should think twice before investing.

Understanding Appian Corp

Appian Corp specializes in providing a low-code enterprise platform-as-a-service, which is instrumental for businesses in managing their processes efficiently. The company's offerings include case management, robotic process automation, artificial intelligence, data fabric, and process mining. Appian's business model is heavily reliant on subscription-based revenue, primarily from its cloud-based platform, Appian Cloud. This focus on subscription services positions the company well within the rapidly growing cloud services market. 1777700776358080512.png

Profitability Analysis

Appian's Profitability Rank is currently at 3 out of 10, which indicates challenges in this area. The company's operating margin stands at -19.80%, which, while not ideal, is better than 23.85% of 2759 companies in the same sector. Appian's return on equity (ROE) is at a concerning -120.30%, yet it still outperforms 7.26% of its industry peers. Similarly, the return on assets (ROA) and return on invested capital (ROIC) are at -18.12% and -22.50%, respectively, both metrics surpassing the performance of over 21% of competitors. These figures suggest that while Appian's profitability is low, it is not the worst among its peers, indicating potential for improvement. 1777700811363741696.png

Growth Prospects

Despite profitability concerns, Appian's Growth Rank is impressive at 9 out of 10. The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a 19.10% 3-year revenue growth rate per share, outperforming 72.58% of 2440 companies in the industry. The 5-year revenue growth rate per share is also robust at 16.00%. Looking ahead, the estimated total revenue growth rate for the next 3 to 5 years is 16.10%, which is better than 72.77% of companies. However, the 3-year and 5-year EPS without NRI growth rates are -46.10% and -17.30%, respectively, indicating that while revenue is growing, profitability is not keeping pace. 1777700836516982784.png

Investor Holdings

Significant investors in Appian include Baillie Gifford (Trades, Portfolio), holding 1,663,168 shares (2.27%), Jefferies Group (Trades, Portfolio) with 16,881 shares (0.02%), and Jim Simons (Trades, Portfolio) with 13,400 shares (0.02%). These holdings reflect confidence from institutional investors, which can be a positive signal for individual investors considering a stake in Appian.

Competitive Landscape

When comparing Appian to its competitors, we see that it is positioned within a competitive market cap range. Endava PLC (DAVA, Financial) has a market cap of $1.97 billion, Rapid7 Inc (RPD, Financial) is valued at $3.08 billion, and StoneCo Ltd (STNE, Financial) stands at $5.4 billion. This comparison provides context for Appian's market position and potential for growth relative to its peers.

Conclusion

In summary, Appian Corp's current stock performance and valuation present a mixed picture. While the stock is significantly undervalued according to the GF Value, the company's profitability metrics are less than ideal. However, Appian's strong growth rank and revenue growth rates suggest potential for future improvement. The positions of significant holders indicate a level of institutional confidence, and the competitive landscape shows that Appian is holding its own against similar companies. Value investors may find Appian's current valuation an attractive entry point, but should consider the company's profitability challenges and growth prospects before making investment decisions.

This article, generated by GuruFocus, is designed to provide general insights and is not tailored financial advice. Our commentary is rooted in historical data and analyst projections, utilizing an impartial methodology, and is not intended to serve as specific investment guidance. It does not formulate a recommendation to purchase or divest any stock and does not consider individual investment objectives or financial circumstances. Our objective is to deliver long-term, fundamental data-driven analysis. Be aware that our analysis might not incorporate the most recent, price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative information. GuruFocus holds no position in the stocks mentioned herein.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.