MicroStrategy (MSTR) Stock Moves with Bitcoin Surge

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Oct 04, 2024
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MicroStrategy (MSTR, Financial) stock experienced a movement today primarily due to its strategic maneuvers involving Bitcoin. The stock closed at a price of $172.70, reflecting a 5.69% increase in its value. This upturn is supported by various factors including increased Bitcoin prices, alongside strategic financial decisions made by the company.

In September, MicroStrategy's stock witnessed a significant rise, correlating with a 10.6% increase in Bitcoin prices. The bullish sentiment surrounding Bitcoin, fueled by a strong American economy and anticipation for the next Bitcoin halving event, has evidently influenced MicroStrategy's stock performance.

MicroStrategy is renowned for its substantial Bitcoin holdings, currently possessing 252,220 Bitcoins valued approximately at $15.6 billion. This makes MicroStrategy the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin worldwide. Recently, the company expanded its borrowing plan from $700 million to $1.01 billion, using this capital to acquire an additional 7,420 Bitcoins. Such strategic financial decisions have positively impacted the stock, with an 18.7% increase following this move.

Alongside its Bitcoin strategy, MicroStrategy's core software business also achieved a 21% rise in service subscription sales during Q2. However, despite these advancements, investors remain predominantly focused on the company's Bitcoin investments. The recent introduction of new AI features to its software suite did not excite the market as anticipated, resulting in a 5% decline in stock value thereafter.

From a valuation perspective, MicroStrategy (MSTR, Financial) shows potential concerns. The company is considered "Significantly Overvalued" per its GF Value rating, with a GF Value of $23.88. Its Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio remains at zero, indicating challenges in profitability. The stock also has a Price-to-Book (PB) ratio of 11.61, which is relatively high, reflecting its current overvaluation in the market.

Despite the positive momentum, MSTR has some warning signs, including a low Piotroski F-Score of 2, indicating potential weaknesses in financial health and operational efficiency. Additionally, revenue per share has been declining over the past five years, which could concern long-term investors. Furthermore, insider selling activity has been observed, with 173,418 shares sold in recent months, adding to the apprehension among investors.

However, the company's financial strength is highlighted by its Altman Z-Score of 4.29, indicating strong prospects of avoiding bankruptcy. The Beneish M-Score of -2.32 suggests that the company is unlikely to be engaged in earnings manipulation.

Overall, while MicroStrategy's innovative approach to leveraging cryptocurrency investments has driven stock gains, investors should exercise caution given its valuation and certain financial metrics. The company's future success largely hinges on the performance of Bitcoin and its ability to effectively manage and capitalize on its massive cryptocurrency holdings.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.