Pfizer (PFE) Surges on Starboard's $1 Billion Investment Plan

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Oct 07, 2024
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Pfizer (PFE, Financial) stock saw a notable increase of 2.94% attributed to a reported $1 billion investment by activist investor Starboard Value. This strategic move is intended to breathe new life into Pfizer, as the stock has experienced a substantial decrease from its highs during the pandemic era.

The pharmaceutical giant Pfizer (PFE, Financial) faces hurdles, notably a sharp decline in the demand for its COVID-19 vaccines as the pandemic eases. Moreover, the company has been unable to keep pace with competitors such as Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly in the GLP-1 weight loss drug market. Despite investing $66.7 billion in acquisitions including Global Blood Therapeutics, Arena Pharmaceuticals, Biohaven Pharmaceutical, and Seagen, Pfizer's annual sales have fallen dramatically from over $100 billion in 2022 to approximately $55 billion in the last year.

Starboard Value has engaged with former Pfizer executives, such as ex-CEO Ian Read and ex-CFO Frank D'Amelio, to chart a potential recovery strategy. While Pfizer is already implementing a $3.5 billion cost-cutting plan for 2024 with more reductions likely, the specific recommendations from Starboard remain unspecified. Historically, under Read’s leadership, the company consistently generated free cash flow between $13 billion and $14 billion per annum. Reverting to a pre-pandemic free cash flow level of $10 billion could position the stock to attract value-focused investors.

Currently, Pfizer (PFE, Financial) trades at $29.42 per share, with a market capitalization of approximately $166.7 billion. The company's price-to-book ratio stands at 1.9, while the price-to-free cash flow ratio is notably higher at 34.42, indicating potential concerns over valuation. Additionally, Pfizer faces a challenging outlook with an Altman Z-score of 1.72, which places it in the distress zone, implying a risk of financial instability in the coming years.

The GF Value for Pfizer is assessed at $27.77, suggesting that the stock is fairly valued at the current price. This valuation metric is pivotal for investors assessing Pfizer’s intrinsic worth. For a more detailed analysis of Pfizer's GF Value, please review our comprehensive data on GF Value.

Investors should be cautious about Pfizer's high dividend payout ratio of 1.23, highlighting concerns regarding dividend sustainability. The company's EBITDA has declined by 81.7% over the last year, further underscoring the financial pressures it is facing. Despite these hurdles, Pfizer remains a significant player in the global pharmaceutical market, with top-selling products such as the pneumococcal vaccine Prevnar 13, the cancer drug Ibrance, and the cardiovascular treatment Eliquis, supporting its business model.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.