Lucid (LCID) Stock Declines After Public Offering Announcement

Author's Avatar
Oct 17, 2024

Lucid Group Inc (LCID, Financial) experienced a significant decline in its stock price, plummeting by 18.14%. This decrease follows the company's recent announcement to conduct an underwritten public offering of approximately 262 million shares of its common stock.

Simultaneously, the company's majority shareholder, Ayar Third Investment Company, associated with Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund, has committed to purchasing 375 million shares in a private placement. This transaction is expected to maintain Ayar's ownership at approximately 58.8%.

From a financial perspective, Lucid (LCID, Financial) faces several challenges. The company's market capitalization stands at $6.23 billion, with a price-to-book ratio of 1.77. Despite an apparent strong potential growth in the electric vehicle market, Lucid is grappling with financial stability concerns. The Altman Z-score of -1.51 suggests that the company is in the distress zone, indicating a potential risk of bankruptcy within the next two years.

Furthermore, Lucid has been consistently issuing new debt, with a total issuance of $3.9 billion over the past three years. This has resulted in severe warning signs related to its financial strength. Moreover, Lucid's earnings per share have been negative at -$1.21, evidencing a pattern of losses.

Lucid's profitability metrics further paint a challenging picture, with negative operating and net margins at -446.86% and -390.39% respectively. Analysts have categorized the stock as a "Distressed" investment.

According to the GF Value, Lucid is flagged as a "Possible Value Trap, Think Twice", implying that the stock may seem undervalued on the surface but carries significant risks. You can view the detailed GF Value analysis here.

Overall, while Lucid's technological prowess in electric vehicle advancements is recognized, the financial indicators and recent strategic maneuvers suggest a cautious approach for potential investors.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.