Why Intel (INTC) Stock is Rising Today

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Nov 01, 2024
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Intel (INTC, Financial) shares surged 7.81% following the release of its third-quarter results, which exceeded Wall Street's forecasts. The stock demonstrated impressive performance through the trading session, reflecting investor optimism based on the company's robust quarterly performance.

In its third-quarter earnings report, Intel (INTC, Financial) revealed a non-GAAP loss per share of $0.46 on a revenue of $13.28 billion. Despite this, when adjusted for one-time impairment charges of $0.63 per share, the company's earnings per share was $0.17, surpassing analysts' expectations of a $0.02 loss per share on $13.02 billion in revenue. These figures underscore Intel's resilient financial health in challenging market conditions.

Looking ahead, Intel has projected its Q4 revenue to range between $13.3 billion and $14.3 billion, ahead of Wall Street's consensus of $13.66 billion. The adjusted gross margin is anticipated at 39.5%, with adjusted earnings per share expected at $0.12, both surpassing analyst predictions.

From a valuation standpoint, Intel's current stock price is $23.20. However, the GF Value, which assesses the intrinsic value of a company's stock, estimates Intel's GF Value at approximately $30.41. This suggests that the stock is "Modestly Undervalued," indicating potential upside for long-term investors.

Despite these positive indicators, Intel faces some challenges. The company's Altman Z-Score of 1.49 positions it in the distress zone, implying potential financial risks. Additionally, Intel's gross margin and operating margin have experienced long-term declines, and the company has continued to issue new debt, amounting to $18.9 billion over the past three years.

However, the company is not without its strengths. Intel (INTC, Financial) has been identified as an unlikely financial manipulator, with a Beneish M-Score of -2.69. Furthermore, recent insider buying activity reflects confidence in the company's future prospects, with 12,500 shares purchased by insiders in the last three months.

Under the leadership of CEO Pat Gelsinger, Intel aims to maintain its integrated chip design and fabrication businesses, leveraging such a structure for long-term advantages and potential public funding opportunities. The company continues to focus on restructuring efforts to enhance competitiveness in chip design and expand its third-party fabrication business.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.