Why SoFi (SOFI) Stock Is Dropping Today

Author's Avatar
Jan 27, 2025

Today, shares of fintech company SoFi (SOFI, Financial) experienced a significant decline, dropping by approximately 11.13%. This decline occurred despite the company posting impressive fourth-quarter results.

In its fourth quarter, SoFi achieved notable milestones, such as adding 785,000 new members and originating $1.1 billion in personal loans through its fee-based loan platform. The company also secured a key partnership with the U.S. Treasury and improved its credit quality by reducing personal loan charge-offs by 15 basis points. Additionally, SoFi increased its net interest margin from 5.57% to 5.91%.

Despite these positive developments, investor sentiment was influenced by SoFi's guidance for 2025. While the company forecasts revenue between $3.2 billion and $3.275 billion, surpassing analyst expectations, its projected earnings per share of $0.25 to $0.27 fell short of expectations, indicating potentially narrower profit margins.

Currently trading at a price of $15.93, SoFi's stock is close to its 52-week high of $18.42. The company's market capitalization stands at $17.28 billion, and it is trading with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 159.25. SoFi is facing several medium and severe warning signs, such as being close to its 1-year P/E high and issuing new debt over the past three years. Despite these concerns, the company has a Beneish M-Score indicating it is unlikely to be a manipulator, which is a positive signal.

From a valuation perspective, SoFi is considered "Significantly Overvalued" based on its GF Value of $8.24. This suggests that the current market price may not be justified by the company's fundamentals.

Investors should keep an eye on SoFi (SOFI, Financial) as it continues to navigate its growth strategy amid the dynamic fintech landscape. With its recent achievements and partnerships, the company shows promise, albeit with caution regarding its valuation and profitability projections.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.