KMT Stock Declines on Weaker Earnings and Guidance

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Feb 05, 2025
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Kennametal (KMT, Financial) shares took a hit, dropping 5.39% following the release of disappointing fourth-quarter results. The company's full-year EPS guidance fell short of expectations, and its revenue forecast for the upcoming quarter also lagged behind Wall Street estimates. Management cited deteriorating market conditions, particularly in the EMEA region, as a key factor for the revised outlook.

Currently trading at $22.20, Kennametal's (KMT, Financial) stock performance reflects investor concerns over its future profitability amid challenging market conditions. The company's P/E ratio of 17.34 indicates that it is trading at a slight premium compared to its peers in the industrial products sector. However, its Price-to-Book (PB) ratio of 1.35 is close to a 3-year low, suggesting potential value in its assets compared to the market price. The stock's Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio of 0.86 also indicates a valuation that may appeal to value-focused investors.

The company has been categorized as "Modestly Undervalued" according to the GF Value with an estimated value of $26.19, presenting a potential upside from its current price. However, caution is advised due to several warning signs, including a declining operating margin, which has been falling at an average rate of 2.8% annually over the past five years, and insider selling activities with no recent insider buying.

On a positive note, Kennametal (KMT, Financial) offers a dividend yield of 3.6%, close to its 2-year high, which might attract income-seeking investors. The stock's Beneish M-Score suggests it is unlikely to be a financial manipulator, providing some assurance about its financial reporting integrity.

Despite these positive factors, potential investors should weigh the challenges ahead given the current market dynamics and the company’s struggle with reduced profitability. The company's return on invested capital (ROIC) is below its weighted average cost of capital (WACC), indicating inefficiency in generating returns from its investments. As the market awaits Kennametal's next earnings report, scheduled for February 5, 2025, investors will be keen to see how the company navigates the current economic landscape and strives to improve its financial performance.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.